Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb72fd0f626df265df5b98ee7ad7620276749ada08c602ec75746a7b08ca96e58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,652,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,145,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,652,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 552 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons | 54c | 328,260$176,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176,565.77 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Liquid | 46c | 206,973$95,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,765.28 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 53c | 64,100$34,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,020.41 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Team Liquid | 45c | 57,975$26,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,695.77 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Team Liquid | 46c | 44,608$20,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,869.17 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Liquid | 47c | 38,730$18,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,526.87 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid | 50c | 37,764$18,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,871.75 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Falcons | 52c | 35,792$18,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,775.35 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Liquid | 56c | 20,090$11,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,806.22 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Team Liquid | 48c | 19,649$9,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,274.95 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Team Liquid | 74c | 15,483$11,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,992.31 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Liquid | 46c | 14,840$6,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,975 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Liquid | 52c | 14,338$7,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,842.2 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Team Falcons | 52c | 13,469$7,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,054.2 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid | 47c | 12,425$5,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,616.92 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 12,401$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,760.98 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Falcons | 54c | 10,112$5,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,460.61 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 9,234$3,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,762.43 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…d154backed Team Liquid | 46c | 9,024$4,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,836.31 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Team Falcons | 1c | 8,924$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid | 49c | 8,740$4,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480.82 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Team Liquid | 46c | 8,614$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,668.73 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Falcons | 54c | 7,886$4,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,258.25 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 7,598$3,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.57 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Team Falcons | 50c | 7,447$3,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,721.54 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 7,268$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270.38 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 46c | 6,830$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,701.7 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Liquid | 46c | 6,242$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,361.26 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 6,137$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.11 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ce…307dbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 6,020$4,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,739.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 5,944$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.02 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons | 50c | 5,923$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.97 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 52c | 5,820$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.22 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 5,801$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.82 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Falcons | 54c | 5,621$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,035.19 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 5,552$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,591.63 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons | 55c | 5,484$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016.3 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 5,364$3,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.01 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 5,350$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.16 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Team Liquid | 47c | 5,099$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.21 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons | 52c | 5,043$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.19 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 55c | 5,038$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.31 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Falcons | 54c | 5,005$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,717.51 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Team Falcons | 55c | 4,986$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.41 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 55c | 4,879$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.18 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Team Liquid | 53c | 4,839$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.39 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Team Liquid | 47c | 4,811$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.58 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Falcons | 53c | 4,613$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.67 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Falcons | 48c | 4,437$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.87 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 39c | 4,377$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.41 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Liquid | 62c | 4,123$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.82 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Team Liquid | 45c | 4,000$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.97 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked Team Liquid | 47c | 3,873$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.58 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Team Falcons | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Liquid | 55c | 3,451$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.15 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Team Falcons | 65c | 3,332$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons | 52c | 3,194$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.46 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Team Falcons | 45c | 3,171$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.31 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Falcons | 54c | 3,100$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Falcons | 44c | 3,095$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.11 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Team Falcons | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 2,993$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.37 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid | 46c | 2,900$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.99 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Team Liquid | 69c | 2,852$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.11 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Falcons | 35c | 2,838$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.66 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Team Liquid | 48c | 2,808$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.81 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Team Falcons | 53c | 2,773$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.23 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 2,764$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.43 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 2,750$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…08fdbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 2,652$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 2,578$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.35 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Team Liquid | 22c | 2,255$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.13 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Liquid | 46c | 2,207$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.61 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 2,179$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.41 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Liquid | 18c | 2,158$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.16 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Falcons | 38c | 2,153$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.75 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Team Liquid | 46c | 2,103$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.88 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Liquid | 38c | 2,032$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.92 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Liquid | 19c | 2,028$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.6 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 1,999$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.55 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Liquid | 49c | 1,997$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.87 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Falcons | 5c | 1,965$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.01 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,946$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.3 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,915$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.22 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,910$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.48 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Liquid | 46c | 1,885$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.71 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 1,836$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.3 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Team Falcons | 17c | 1,800$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.31 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Falcons | 41c | 1,765$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.35 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Liquid | 27c | 1,717$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.19 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…cdb1backed Team Falcons | 51c | 1,709$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.24 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f63…8a17backed Team Liquid | 57c | 1,700$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 1,700$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.98 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Team Liquid | 46c | 1,685$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.9 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 1,672$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.49 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Falcons | 54c | 1,630$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 1,625$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.63 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.