Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36d1d1cc8b05465f7c4e4d08dc5ed4d34008bf6d082de2ae011e9d288832e0e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Level UP, Yellow Submarine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 8,061$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,346.81 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Level UP | 24c | 5,061$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.61 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Level UP | 43c | 3,136$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Level UP | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Level UP | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Level UP | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Yellow Submarine | 56c | 2,242$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.32 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Level UP | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Level UP | 1c | 1,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Level UP | 43c | 1,522$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.93 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Level UP | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Yellow Submarine | 65c | 1,098$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.07 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Yellow Submarine | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.08 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Yellow Submarine | 69c | 842.79$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.79 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa670…55d2backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Level UP | 48c | 796.51$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Level UP | 27c | 683.73$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.89 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yellow Submarine | 62c | 641.14$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.92 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Yellow Submarine | 61c | 637.49$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.39 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine | 72c | 611.91$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.62 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Level UP | 18c | 592.18$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.96 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Level UP | 44c | 544.46$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.67 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Level UP | 37c | 540.68$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.63 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Yellow Submarine | 61c | 519.03$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.58 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 57c | 467.85$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.13 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Level UP | 4c | 443.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Level UP | 23c | 439.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Yellow Submarine | 56c | 409$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.77 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Yellow Submarine | 18c | 318.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.26 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…0f8fbacked Level UP | 47c | 313.84$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.51 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 303.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Yellow Submarine | 65c | 299.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yellow Submarine | 72c | 285.62$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Level UP | 35c | 282.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 262.26$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.37 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Level UP | 33c | 253.13$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Yellow Submarine | 50c | 224.95$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.59 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Level UP | 25c | 215.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Yellow Submarine | 63c | 196.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Level UP | 39c | 193.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Yellow Submarine | 56c | 190.25$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 170.01$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Yellow Submarine | 70c | 170$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…d34dbacked Yellow Submarine | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.43per pick | 47cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Yellow Submarine | 76c | 160$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 155$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Level UP | 33c | 154.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 151.4$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Yellow Submarine | 60c | 151.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50fb…60cbbacked Level UP | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…60f7backed Level UP | 29c | 138.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Yellow Submarine | 72c | 137.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Level UP | 40c | 134.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65f8…22abbacked Yellow Submarine | 79c | 127.26$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc0…9d48backed Level UP | 36c | 127.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Yellow Submarine | 50c | 125.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Level UP | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yellow Submarine | 62c | 119.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ed…041bbacked Level UP | 35c | 118.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Yellow Submarine | 72c | 116.07$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yellow Submarine | 55c | 113.34$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Level UP | 45c | 110.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Level UP | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Level UP | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Level UP | 40c | 84.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 78.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Level UP | 38c | 76.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Level UP | 43c | 70.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Level UP | 24c | 68.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Level UP | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Level UP | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed Yellow Submarine | 76c | 55.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…ba12backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 54.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yellow Submarine | 56c | 52.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 51.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Level UP | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Yellow Submarine | 60c | 49.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Yellow Submarine | 73c | 47.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked Yellow Submarine | 70c | 45.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Level UP | 44c | 44.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yellow Submarine | 70c | 40.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Yellow Submarine | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8c…3922backed Level UP | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…e611backed Level UP | 36c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +277.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Level UP | 34c | 37.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Level UP | 37c | 36.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ef…78adbacked Yellow Submarine | 58c | 36.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…5146backed Yellow Submarine | 72c | 36.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 253 | 56.5%143 W · 110 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Yellow Submarine | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Yellow Submarine | 55c | 34.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 34.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Level UP | 39c | 34.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Level UP | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Level UP | 39c | 28.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…88f6backed Yellow Submarine | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…e494backed Yellow Submarine | 59c | 24.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 1 PlayoffsYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerLevel UP won
- Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5)Level UP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.