TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6aaa…e611

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: mokrivskiy Club vs Perfecto Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group Abacked mokrivskiy Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.01
Counter-Strike: mellren vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffsbacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.02
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$102.96
Counter-Strike: Serbia vs Romania (BO3) - Esports Nations Cup East European Qualifier Playoffsbacked Serbia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.04
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs OlyBet SB - Map 1 Winnerbacked OlyBet SB · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.58
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak (BO1) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Group Abacked Mindfreak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.34
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs megoshort - Map 1 Winnerbacked megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Bbacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.94
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Keyd - Map 1 Winnerbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs Brute (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Abacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+194.9%+$136.08
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs regain (BO3) - BLAST Open North American Qualifier Playoffsbacked regain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$190.92
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked Blitzkrieg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$215.6
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs MAGICOS - Map 1 Winnerbacked MAGICOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.1
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$294.55
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend (BO5) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend - Map 3 Winnerbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked Blitzkrieg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.89
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Subtop De France - Map 1 Winnerbacked Subtop De France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.95
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Vexa (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+131.5%+$29.99
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$73.41
Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked KUUSAMO.gg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+215.7%+$90.81
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked ex-MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.24
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked Oxuji Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.17
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+48.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: RED Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked RED Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Ei Nerd Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$98.91
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Team Solid (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Team Solid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+201.1%+$190.35
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$100.01
LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty - Game 1 Winnerbacked Myth Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.9
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked RED Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.65
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.34
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$248.54
LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winnerbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+166.7%+$227.42
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 3 Winnerbacked Ozarox Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.14
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.14
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.49
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
Valorant: Formulation Gaming vs Twisted Saints Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Abacked Formulation Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.32
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs CGN Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked CGN Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.92
Valorant: Division One vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Team Evictix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.5
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Alliance Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+190%+$282.79
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Valorant: Pigeons vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Pigeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+314.8%+$176.39
Valorant: Team Evictix vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Alliance Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+277.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.