Lol · resolved market

LoL: RED Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae3b0e796b783a21fbaad8da53649c29d5fd0e1379a2d10a23d315c78443be69

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Estral Esportsof RED Academy, Estral Esports
Resolved: Jul 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $116,092
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $125,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,092 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe8ca…cccbbacked RED Academy	15c	27,911$4,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,315.56	56	51.8%29 W · 27 L	+6.8wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x46b1…428cbacked RED Academy	0c	12,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed RED Academy	16c	8,206$1,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,325.33	282	35.1%99 W · 183 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked RED Academy	18c	5,213$921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$921.33	93	44.1%41 W · 52 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed RED Academy	12c	4,207$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.91	1,007	47.9%482 W · 525 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed RED Academy	20c	2,179$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.47	564	32.1%181 W · 383 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbcd2…43f3backed RED Academy	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked RED Academy	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked RED Academy	14c	1,355$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.54	407	41.5%169 W · 238 L	-11.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed RED Academy	10c	1,253$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.3	179	43.6%78 W · 101 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e4d…b4cabacked RED Academy	11c	1,235$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.85	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed RED Academy	11c	1,168$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.17	2,202	33.3%733 W · 1,469 L	-72.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed RED Academy	10c	1,147$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.39	354	43.2%153 W · 201 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked RED Academy	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	431	4.9%21 W · 410 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-86.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked RED Academy	11c	990.91$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	108	34.3%37 W · 71 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed RED Academy	10c	950$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked RED Academy	8c	748.84$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.71	406	37.7%153 W · 253 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed RED Academy	2c	723.76$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.33	1,606	17.5%281 W · 1,325 L	-245.0wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed RED Academy	15c	698.15$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.72	248	35.1%87 W · 161 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked RED Academy	15c	666.97$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.27	549	34.8%191 W · 358 L	-15.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53d7…0bd8backed RED Academy	15c	659.78$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	72	31.9%23 W · 49 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked RED Academy	10c	581.15$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.12	245	35.9%88 W · 157 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed RED Academy	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	225	36.9%83 W · 142 L	-11.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked RED Academy	17c	500$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	1,216	44.4%540 W · 676 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed RED Academy	11c	464.43$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.09	354	42.1%149 W · 205 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed RED Academy	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed RED Academy	18c	417.06$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.97	361	51.8%187 W · 174 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x207b…8118backed RED Academy	11c	385.73$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.43	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed RED Academy	9c	383.54$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.52	200	36.5%73 W · 127 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed RED Academy	10c	372$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.2	2,226	37.5%834 W · 1,392 L	-29.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa533…755fbacked RED Academy	11c	344.49$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.47	58	31%18 W · 40 L	-7.6wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked RED Academy	17c	334.74$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.06	356	42.4%151 W · 205 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0af3…9cb5backed RED Academy	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed RED Academy	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked RED Academy	8c	284$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.72	389	31.9%124 W · 265 L	-14.5wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed RED Academy	11c	280$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	169	33.1%56 W · 113 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd4d…60f8backed RED Academy	17c	276.33$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.82	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4b0…d8dbbacked RED Academy	11c	272.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	101	50.5%51 W · 50 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed RED Academy	17c	265.5$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.28	2,508	39.8%999 W · 1,509 L	-76.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdccf…faeabacked RED Academy	11c	254.55$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6aaa…e611backed RED Academy	15c	249.99$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.17per pick	37cpaid	+48.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x232f…8002backed RED Academy	10c	232$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-3.4wins	-0.15per pick	47cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed RED Academy	18c	218.13$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.8	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed RED Academy	5c	203$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	290	38.6%112 W · 178 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed RED Academy	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	462	48.9%226 W · 236 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked RED Academy	16c	187.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	150	38.7%58 W · 92 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5819…2b4fbacked RED Academy	21c	185.21$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.04	505	50.7%256 W · 249 L	+34.1wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked RED Academy	11c	184.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	362	46.4%168 W · 194 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed RED Academy	10c	174.84$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.34	344	48.3%166 W · 178 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30da…3e7abacked RED Academy	11c	174$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.14	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked RED Academy	11c	171$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.81	244	34.4%84 W · 160 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed RED Academy	21c	170.76$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.1	244	46.3%113 W · 131 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84b1…51b8backed Estral Esports	71c	164.05$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.57	108	39.8%43 W · 65 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked RED Academy	12c	155.18$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.29	112	53.6%60 W · 52 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed RED Academy	16c	151.79$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.29	227	42.7%97 W · 130 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed RED Academy	15c	145.02$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.75	1,270	57%724 W · 546 L	+45.7wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaf7…be9bbacked RED Academy	17c	143.76$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.44	188	44.7%84 W · 104 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked RED Academy	11c	127.27$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	176	50%88 W · 88 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed RED Academy	11c	127.27$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	123	51.2%63 W · 60 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked RED Academy	18c	114.87$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.54	91	47.3%43 W · 48 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc788…f2e1backed RED Academy	17c	100.68$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed RED Academy	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1,310	49.2%644 W · 666 L	-23.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed RED Academy	16c	95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	+8.3wins	+0.12per pick	36cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed RED Academy	16c	84.86$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	1,543	54.8%845 W · 698 L	+75.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d40…dd57backed RED Academy	17c	76.47$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed RED Academy	17c	70.38$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	220	43.6%96 W · 124 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a29…8cc4backed RED Academy	21c	54.71$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.24	411	51.1%210 W · 201 L	+19.1wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53d3…cc48backed Estral Esports	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: RED Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market