TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ALKAof ALKA, Blitzkrieg
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,097
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,097 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked Blitzkrieg21c13,522$2,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,855.4792456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa39…bb64backed Blitzkrieg31c7,716$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,385.114151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Blitzkrieg4c5,858$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.3188330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x899d…1092backed Blitzkrieg23c4,790$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.01475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed Blitzkrieg1c3,970$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0316036.3%58 W · 102 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Blitzkrieg1c2,894$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0838032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9015…281fbacked ALKA75c2,607$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.526854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x292b…23cebacked Blitzkrieg15c2,196$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.791827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Blitzkrieg32c2,131$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.6438841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed ALKA69c2,010$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.735046%23 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Blitzkrieg1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Blitzkrieg31c1,928$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.5419652.6%103 W · 93 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Blitzkrieg25c1,907$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.7224551.8%127 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe544…c7afbacked Blitzkrieg8c1,880$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.648545.9%39 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c6…ca73backed Blitzkrieg11c1,871$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Blitzkrieg9c1,783$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3722447.8%107 W · 117 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ec…04e4backed Blitzkrieg11c1,775$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3208…07a7backed Blitzkrieg6c1,487$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.213839.9%55 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e85…788bbacked Blitzkrieg18c1,466$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.11533.3%5 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked Blitzkrieg27c1,466$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.8222257.2%127 W · 95 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Blitzkrieg4c1,465$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4266436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked Blitzkrieg6c1,290$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.435131.1%109 W · 242 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed Blitzkrieg30c1,187$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.4624746.2%114 W · 133 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb3…4f1dbacked Blitzkrieg17c1,152$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+63.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed ALKA73c1,115$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.1877351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed ALKA77c1,059$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.5815349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed ALKA69c997.73$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.2347641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Blitzkrieg14c993.75$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.941,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Blitzkrieg5c977.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.651010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-80.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a9…6a2dbacked Blitzkrieg20c967.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Blitzkrieg16c958.43$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.872,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Blitzkrieg12c951.6$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.563,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa34…6628backed ALKA78c922.5$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.23050%15 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed ALKA72c910.94$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.313458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f80…2163backed Blitzkrieg11c875.62$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+58.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked ALKA74c828.86$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.142,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked ALKA76c821.47$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.4412846.1%59 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x322e…ef2cbacked ALKA78c798$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.561442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12bf…41f2backed Blitzkrieg23c791.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed ALKA80c752.69$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.692,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed Blitzkrieg22c749.85$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6621953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Blitzkrieg29c717.15$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.457856.4%44 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Blitzkrieg34c715$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.931,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed Blitzkrieg32c688.51$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5440155.1%221 W · 180 L+1.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Blitzkrieg4c675$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016311.7%19 W · 144 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Blitzkrieg4c670.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.251,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb41e…26f6backed ALKA75c664.43$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.43771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+106.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Blitzkrieg11c640.51$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.464918.4%9 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed ALKA78c639.24$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.7646555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Blitzkrieg33c638.28$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.3235744.3%158 W · 199 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3995…47edbacked ALKA71c627.1$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.835642.9%24 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Blitzkrieg27c600.36$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.0199148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed Blitzkrieg36c558.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed Blitzkrieg36c557.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012157.9%70 W · 51 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafeb…6da8backed ALKA78c527.64$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.081752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Blitzkrieg2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012531.2%39 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6297…1e59backed ALKA70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505558.2%32 W · 23 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a03…0af5backed Blitzkrieg13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652030%6 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Blitzkrieg10c494.23$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4616023.8%38 W · 122 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd385…34fbbacked ALKA80c479.53$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0213852.9%73 W · 65 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked ALKA74c459.14$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5635947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58a4…2b32backed ALKA80c451.64$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.092860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Blitzkrieg9c448.64$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8651252.1%267 W · 245 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabc8…500cbacked ALKA63c435.42$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.261258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Blitzkrieg6c433.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9675833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked ALKA74c419.45$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7520045%90 W · 110 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed ALKA72c416.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8138052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Blitzkrieg10c407.86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7920745.9%95 W · 112 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked ALKA71c401.99$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5834140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Blitzkrieg5c397$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8832139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x701c…fa14backed ALKA72c395.57$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.571650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95e…102abacked ALKA73c382.44$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.858755.2%48 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Blitzkrieg24c380$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.22,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked ALKA76c352.56$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.765455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Blitzkrieg36c335$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.414057.9%81 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920a…29e0backed ALKA79c310.58$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.857653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d4a…c078backed ALKA77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.512271.3%87 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+26.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked ALKA69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1315044.7%67 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Blitzkrieg30c299.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9022729.1%66 W · 161 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed Blitzkrieg24c299.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7230155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…4e6abacked Blitzkrieg20c284.49$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.926554.3%144 W · 121 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…4893backed ALKA69c281.88$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked ALKA77c263$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.492842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked ALKA77c260$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.815455.2%85 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1c…1634backed ALKA77c258.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.67425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x234e…1160backed Blitzkrieg21c240$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.141437%153 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ff…425fbacked ALKA75c226.67$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.671747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f67…866ebacked Blitzkrieg14c223.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.345052%26 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed ALKA73c220$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.426650.8%135 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5690…7a58backed Blitzkrieg11c205.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-73.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed ALKA75c204.05$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.591,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Blitzkrieg5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Blitzkrieg5c199.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Blitzkrieg6c199$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9563038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed ALKA79c184.81$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8132544.3%144 W · 181 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2a…4fd0backed ALKA68c182.31$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.995742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed ALKA79c176.72$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7222044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x225e…ac2dbacked ALKA68c163.18$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.222676.9%20 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Blitzkrieg7c162.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.368551.8%44 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Blitzkrieg10c162$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.225643.4%111 W · 145 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.