TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Blitzkrieg - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ALKAof ALKA, Blitzkrieg
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,290
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,058

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,290 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked Blitzkrieg9c3,194$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.437,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Blitzkrieg3c2,792$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0144343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Blitzkrieg6c2,181$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.783,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Blitzkrieg1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Blitzkrieg10c1,917$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.882,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Blitzkrieg8c1,896$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.664,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa39…bb64backed Blitzkrieg31c1,809$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.894151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Blitzkrieg32c1,660$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.631,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Blitzkrieg6c1,341$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.565,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed ALKA78c1,281$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.1555039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Blitzkrieg9c1,249$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2613751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked Blitzkrieg5c1,236$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7112846.1%59 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked ALKA68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3209160.4%55 W · 36 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked Blitzkrieg10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035131.1%109 W · 242 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e85…788bbacked Blitzkrieg26c999.29$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.491533.3%5 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Blitzkrieg11c996.76$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6533340.2%134 W · 199 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Blitzkrieg12c986$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3445754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed Blitzkrieg11c981.72$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.046238.7%24 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Blitzkrieg4c980$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.843,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed ALKA73c893.12$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.123154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Blitzkrieg11c817.22$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5848240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed ALKA77c805.38$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.915349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Blitzkrieg8c761.54$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7313060.8%79 W · 51 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed ALKA71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2359755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Blitzkrieg10c699.15$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5289046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed Blitzkrieg24c500$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12130155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70fe…3c28backed Blitzkrieg7c420.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.461353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+44.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Blitzkrieg5c402.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.128537.6%32 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed Blitzkrieg3c393.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Blitzkrieg11c388.35$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5240639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Blitzkrieg12c352.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4327156.8%154 W · 117 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Blitzkrieg10c347.72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8974653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Blitzkrieg6c334.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.571,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Blitzkrieg26c331.48$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1835744.3%158 W · 199 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Blitzkrieg32c300.58$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3599148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Blitzkrieg12c293.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.234918.4%9 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5005…bcb1backed ALKA74c285.07$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.223357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Blitzkrieg11c276.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1516023.8%38 W · 122 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed Blitzkrieg5c261$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.832544.3%144 W · 181 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Blitzkrieg10c255.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2442255.7%235 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked ALKA72c241.66$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.192,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Blitzkrieg11c232.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9718753.5%100 W · 87 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc315…a989backed Blitzkrieg4c230$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.214322.4%32 W · 111 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked Blitzkrieg16c207.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8822257.2%127 W · 95 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed Blitzkrieg26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5240155.1%221 W · 180 L+1.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Blitzkrieg7c192.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.192,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Blitzkrieg8c192$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.061,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked ALKA69c190.76$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1434140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Blitzkrieg8c188.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9233448.2%161 W · 173 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Blitzkrieg9c180$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.23,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5a3…5b70backed Blitzkrieg6c172.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.354233.3%14 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa7…afb4backed Blitzkrieg6c165.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6519454.1%105 W · 89 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed ALKA70c160$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4829246.9%137 W · 155 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Blitzkrieg13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.517251.2%88 W · 84 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Blitzkrieg14c138.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1535947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed ALKA72c136.19$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6177351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Blitzkrieg44c128.33$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0447053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed Blitzkrieg28c114.74$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5821953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Blitzkrieg23c107.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8122447.8%107 W · 117 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Blitzkrieg15c94.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.031,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Blitzkrieg17c86.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.912,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked Blitzkrieg28c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.430349.8%151 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50a0…18ffbacked ALKA74c65$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.93764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Blitzkrieg20c62.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5527248.9%133 W · 139 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Blitzkrieg29c56.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.149149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb67…fd46backed Blitzkrieg27c54.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.87250%36 W · 36 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Blitzkrieg20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1067547.3%319 W · 356 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf8d…0de5backed ALKA80c31.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4e3…85f0backed ALKA71c25.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.451233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-53.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked ALKA75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513148.1%63 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.