CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb36ef1f041586a480adc65c4a2d495364ba45516cd38bfd697f3ffe01c36c53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Over | 23c | 2,830$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.1 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 8c | 1,496$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.36 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37d…c735backed Over | 7c | 1,201$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 9c | 1,100$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdb…0d6fbacked Over | 9c | 974.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Over | 9c | 972.9$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Over | 35c | 745.8$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.59 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Over | 27c | 537.07$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.39 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…3ef3backed Over | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 71c | 429.64$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 5c | 426.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 10c | 407.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed Over | 31c | 323.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.18 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 5c | 306.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 14c | 303.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Over | 33c | 280.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.45 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aca…c347backed Over | 8c | 247.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 7c | 218.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 13c | 216.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 11c | 212.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 18c | 193$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Over | 18c | 187.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 8c | 167$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Over | 23c | 136.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 14c | 123$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 28c | 108.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483f…3683backed Over | 18c | 106.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 13c | 97.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed Over | 17c | 72.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Under | 66c | 39.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Under | 71c | 14.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StageALKA won
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Blitzkrieg - Map 1 WinnerALKA won
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Blitzkrieg - Map 2 WinnerALKA won
- Map Handicap: ALKA (-1.5) vs Blitzkrieg (+1.5)ALKA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.