CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: ALKA (-1.5) vs Blitzkrieg (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xada546938e31580e9dc86f936e5717799bde15b207991d5237ba22a8485d5df4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALKAof ALKA, Blitzkrieg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Blitzkrieg | 33c | 5,648$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.38 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…d34dbacked ALKA | 69c | 2,652$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed ALKA | 64c | 2,069$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.69 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Blitzkrieg | 14c | 999.59$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.89 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37d…c735backed Blitzkrieg | 6c | 732.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Blitzkrieg | 33c | 700$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Blitzkrieg | 8c | 682.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Blitzkrieg | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Blitzkrieg | 14c | 491.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Blitzkrieg | 26c | 461.42$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.3 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Blitzkrieg | 18c | 432.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…c182backed ALKA | 80c | 331.58$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.32 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Blitzkrieg | 20c | 273.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Blitzkrieg | 6c | 251.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Blitzkrieg | 6c | 236$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Blitzkrieg | 18c | 141.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Blitzkrieg | 20c | 136.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…91f7backed Blitzkrieg | 16c | 121.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 165 | 38.8%64 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked ALKA | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: ALKA (-1.5) vs Blitzkrieg (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StageALKA won
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Blitzkrieg - Map 1 WinnerALKA won
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Blitzkrieg - Map 2 WinnerALKA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.