CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Blitzkrieg - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cd61b676b5d72e1bc47a33900530a13bf2106802b86269cdda99b35b272bff9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALKAof ALKA, Blitzkrieg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Blitzkrieg | 18c | 3,628$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.9 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed Blitzkrieg | 30c | 2,560$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.08 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Blitzkrieg | 8c | 2,040$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Blitzkrieg | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Blitzkrieg | 7c | 1,645$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.84 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Blitzkrieg | 32c | 1,124$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.13 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked ALKA | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Blitzkrieg | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Blitzkrieg | 8c | 994$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed ALKA | 72c | 875$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Blitzkrieg | 12c | 840$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Blitzkrieg | 28c | 701.22$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.23 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Blitzkrieg | 16c | 621.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Blitzkrieg | 9c | 608.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ALKA | 72c | 542.65$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.24 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Blitzkrieg | 15c | 513.08$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Blitzkrieg | 34c | 510$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.4 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Blitzkrieg | 24c | 500$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Blitzkrieg | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Blitzkrieg | 13c | 451.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed ALKA | 79c | 350$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed ALKA | 79c | 336.66$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Blitzkrieg | 31c | 300.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Blitzkrieg | 7c | 289$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Blitzkrieg | 9c | 281.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked ALKA | 70c | 270$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Blitzkrieg | 7c | 251.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…4d93backed ALKA | 72c | 235.63$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Blitzkrieg | 12c | 225.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Blitzkrieg | 15c | 225$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Blitzkrieg | 22c | 222.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ALKA | 69c | 187.87$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…bcb1backed ALKA | 72c | 170$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed ALKA | 66c | 151.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Blitzkrieg | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Blitzkrieg | 36c | 149.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Blitzkrieg | 31c | 123.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…fa14backed ALKA | 72c | 119.42$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Blitzkrieg | 10c | 113.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Blitzkrieg | 22c | 111.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…425fbacked ALKA | 73c | 109.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Blitzkrieg | 30c | 105.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…8dd0backed Blitzkrieg | 19c | 104.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Blitzkrieg | 13c | 104.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Blitzkrieg | 20c | 102.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked ALKA | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Blitzkrieg | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Blitzkrieg | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Blitzkrieg | 29c | 85.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Blitzkrieg | 19c | 85.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…87c5backed ALKA | 76c | 84.45$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…ac81backed ALKA | 66c | 73.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Blitzkrieg | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Blitzkrieg | 28c | 61.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Blitzkrieg | 25c | 57.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Blitzkrieg | 30c | 51.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5149…3336backed ALKA | 74c | 46.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…914bbacked Blitzkrieg | 32c | 34.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Blitzkrieg | 31c | 34.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed ALKA | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked ALKA | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Blitzkrieg - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StageALKA won
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Blitzkrieg - Map 2 WinnerALKA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ALKA (-1.5) vs Blitzkrieg (+1.5)ALKA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.