CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs megoshort - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1690328defdfc2c3136bf413c27a4b733a27cceb4f155e9ed0ec9d65419735b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Honvédof Honvéd, megoshort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Honvéd | 71c | 7,233$5,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.09 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked megoshort | 39c | 4,869$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.77 | 630 | 57.1%360 W · 270 L | +40.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Honvéd | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.98 | 749 | 56.7%425 W · 324 L | +47.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked megoshort | 38c | 2,135$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.61 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked megoshort | 17c | 1,575$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.66 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Honvéd | 58c | 1,221$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.78 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…763fbacked Honvéd | 60c | 1,152$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7e…9546backed megoshort | 26c | 942.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.75 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked megoshort | 21c | 900.31$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.48 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed megoshort | 20c | 809$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.61 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed megoshort | 25c | 770.5$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.87 | 327 | 46.5%152 W · 175 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed megoshort | 45c | 769.69$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.18 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed megoshort | 40c | 639.69$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.75 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Honvéd | 55c | 635.3$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.41 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed megoshort | 38c | 610$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 834 | 43.6%364 W · 470 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked Honvéd | 63c | 599.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Honvéd | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked megoshort | 41c | 473.79$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.27 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…e611backed megoshort | 28c | 442.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed megoshort | 38c | 404$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.86 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked megoshort | 37c | 403.77$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed megoshort | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,062 | 42.2%448 W · 614 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed megoshort | 32c | 398.63$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.41 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked megoshort | 38c | 379.71$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.28 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed megoshort | 24c | 375$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed megoshort | 28c | 301.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.04 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Honvéd | 42c | 273.06$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.37 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…f1c1backed megoshort | 41c | 270$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a66…fa83backed megoshort | 24c | 266.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…2642backed megoshort | 27c | 244.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed megoshort | 36c | 232.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked megoshort | 45c | 215.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Honvéd | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…bb5bbacked Honvéd | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.69 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Honvéd | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Honvéd | 57c | 199.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 721 | 53.7%387 W · 334 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked megoshort | 31c | 192.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Honvéd | 55c | 183.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.18 | 394 | 55.3%218 W · 176 L | +17.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed megoshort | 28c | 181.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Honvéd | 75c | 179.14$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 450 | 65.6%295 W · 155 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…6211backed Honvéd | 58c | 173.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Honvéd | 76c | 154.89$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f12…3f91backed Honvéd | 63c | 150$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Honvéd | 51c | 136.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked megoshort | 32c | 130.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…e074backed megoshort | 39c | 107.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed megoshort | 28c | 102.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked megoshort | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Honvéd | 49c | 92.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 766 | 46.1%353 W · 413 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa571…404cbacked megoshort | 45c | 86.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed megoshort | 31c | 84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed megoshort | 48c | 81.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 653 | 46.9%306 W · 347 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Honvéd | 66c | 78.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Honvéd | 56c | 73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked megoshort | 25c | 56.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Honvéd | 60c | 51.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed Honvéd | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 248 | 42.3%105 W · 143 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked megoshort | 31c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…e718backed megoshort | 32c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…bbd3backed megoshort | 24c | 42.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed megoshort | 27c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed megoshort | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed megoshort | 47c | 36.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Honvéd | 48c | 36.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 671 | 47.1%316 W · 355 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Honvéd | 67c | 34.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Honvéd | 72c | 32.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Honvéd | 43c | 32.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Honvéd | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked megoshort | 34c | 29.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed megoshort | 37c | 28.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed Honvéd | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…499fbacked Honvéd | 59c | 19.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs megoshort - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs megoshort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group AHonvéd won
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs megoshort - Map 2 WinnerHonvéd won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Honvéd (-3.5) vs megoshort (+3.5)megoshort won
- Map Handicap: Honvéd (-1.5) vs megoshort (+1.5)Honvéd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.