CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs megoshort - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb41633bb9f48c67b9ac52f3d56db013d821d78fbfaad036f867c4b7061e899a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Honvédof Honvéd, megoshort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Honvéd | 71c | 6,968$4,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.72 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed megoshort | 1c | 4,012$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked megoshort | 33c | 3,772$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.21 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed megoshort | 28c | 2,190$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.37 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked megoshort | 27c | 1,976$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.06 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed megoshort | 18c | 1,222$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Honvéd | 72c | 995.3$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.32 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…218ebacked Honvéd | 66c | 720.55$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.09 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked megoshort | 16c | 612.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked megoshort | 20c | 494$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…763fbacked Honvéd | 59c | 469.47$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.42 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed Honvéd | 78c | 416.91$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed megoshort | 19c | 389$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked megoshort | 24c | 354.53$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Honvéd | 73c | 338.78$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.26 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Honvéd | 74c | 239.56$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked megoshort | 38c | 228.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Honvéd | 35c | 226.58$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.28 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed megoshort | 24c | 217.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed megoshort | 28c | 212$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Honvéd | 74c | 211.81$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Honvéd | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Honvéd | 70c | 187.25$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Honvéd | 68c | 186$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked megoshort | 10c | 166.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Honvéd | 68c | 165$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed megoshort | 21c | 159.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked megoshort | 29c | 146.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked megoshort | 26c | 140.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Honvéd | 69c | 122.28$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked megoshort | 23c | 106.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked megoshort | 27c | 104.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…6aa1backed Honvéd | 64c | 104$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 79 | 70.9%56 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Honvéd | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed megoshort | 24c | 81.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked megoshort | 25c | 81.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed megoshort | 19c | 78.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Honvéd | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked megoshort | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed megoshort | 34c | 64.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed megoshort | 27c | 60.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Honvéd | 68c | 43.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed Honvéd | 71c | 42.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 248 | 42.3%105 W · 143 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed megoshort | 34c | 35.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Honvéd | 69c | 35.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Honvéd | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs megoshort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group AHonvéd won
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs megoshort - Map 1 WinnerHonvéd won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Honvéd (-3.5) vs megoshort (+3.5)megoshort won
- Map Handicap: Honvéd (-1.5) vs megoshort (+1.5)Honvéd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.