TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs megoshort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Honvédof Honvéd, megoshort
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,093

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,728 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked Honvéd78c5,580$4,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.892456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed megoshort14c1,492$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.176,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked megoshort10c1,465$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.053,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed megoshort7c1,317$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.91,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed megoshort21c1,000$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.855,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked megoshort23c881.44$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6210438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked megoshort29c813.14$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.937,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked megoshort44c807.54$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.98336.1%30 W · 53 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Honvéd72c750$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21037057.3%212 W · 158 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed megoshort14c718.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2787330.9%270 W · 603 L-62.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Honvéd56c565.87$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.9843751.7%226 W · 211 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Honvéd74c527.96$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8422567.1%151 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked megoshort16c516.4$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831,83041.6%762 W · 1,068 L-68.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed megoshort14c500.29$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.362,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked megoshort18c491.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0274633.4%249 W · 497 L-48.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked megoshort17c444.43$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6621536.3%78 W · 137 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed megoshort28c442.43$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8838739.5%153 W · 234 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Honvéd72c416.66$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.661,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e5a…96bcbacked Honvéd60c402.53$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.0715045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30dc…f26ebacked megoshort24c392.03$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.216236.4%59 W · 103 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked megoshort28c360$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.835131.1%109 W · 242 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf1…3018backed megoshort23c337$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.515438.9%21 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed megoshort27c320$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.42,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed Honvéd74c308.89$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3124746.2%114 W · 133 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed megoshort24c269$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5510731.8%34 W · 73 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Honvéd75c266.9$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.91,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked megoshort25c255.25$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8763038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed megoshort18c232.02$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1127037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31de…6003backed megoshort14c220$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick27cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed megoshort27c209.96$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1454339.4%214 W · 329 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked megoshort27c209.45$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.771,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed megoshort29c206.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.532,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef1d…3080backed Honvéd72c204.96$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3913258.3%77 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed megoshort28c204.96$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.394,04050.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L+71.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked megoshort23c204.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9963057.1%360 W · 270 L+40.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed megoshort26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5237145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Honvéd77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4641050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed megoshort16c198.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.275,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked megoshort22c198.18$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.663341.9%265 W · 368 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332e…0747backed megoshort22c175.18$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.546346%29 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed Honvéd71c164.52$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7146354%250 W · 213 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked megoshort16c160.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.082,45434.4%845 W · 1,609 L-189.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x180a…bd66backed Honvéd76c132.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2116355.2%90 W · 73 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked megoshort19c126$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.223,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ee9…7e08backed Honvéd73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.42951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Honvéd73c119$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3328355.5%157 W · 126 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5149…3336backed megoshort28c117.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.792050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcce…c920backed Honvéd79c115.3$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5917060.6%103 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Honvéd73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Honvéd69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3193261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed1…908cbacked megoshort28c99.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2820637.9%78 W · 128 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Honvéd69c98.9$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7372153.7%387 W · 334 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Honvéd69c95.23$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.522,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7365…9589backed Honvéd79c85.92$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2929455.8%164 W · 130 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Honvéd76c85.57$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.682,08447%979 W · 1,105 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Honvéd70c85$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.632,33042.5%991 W · 1,339 L-71.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Honvéd70c85$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.631,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Honvéd71c85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.92,11942.9%909 W · 1,210 L-66.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked megoshort25c79.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5752144.7%233 W · 288 L-21.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Honvéd72c72.15$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0275438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed megoshort29c69.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.111,82847.6%871 W · 957 L-54.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed megoshort23c60.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.189046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93e…7434backed Honvéd71c59.54$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.274067.5%27 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed megoshort29c57.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8751446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked megoshort20c56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.321,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3edb…11b8backed megoshort22c55.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.228541.2%35 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d94…eb52backed Honvéd77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.53542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5111…a164backed megoshort20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+71.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed megoshort31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1569041.9%289 W · 401 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked megoshort29c47.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.913253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed megoshort29c43.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9315951.6%82 W · 77 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed megoshort32c43.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1436856.8%209 W · 159 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…a44dbacked Honvéd72c43.24$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1110557.1%60 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75c7…fcccbacked Honvéd73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.820444.1%90 W · 114 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7999…1d86backed Honvéd74c36.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6224842.3%105 W · 143 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2526…218ebacked Honvéd76c35.38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.494973.5%36 W · 13 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed megoshort40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0347856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Honvéd72c28.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.982,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8884…4349backed Honvéd74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.031266.7%8 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a3…1753backed Honvéd70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67159.2%42 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4bc…6c1bbacked Honvéd67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.66168.9%42 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked Honvéd72c16.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.519154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.