Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Formulation Gaming vs Twisted Saints Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf1ad5da005e8e003be115bd875a39d706f82e1b769041a81872410a42cf953d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twisted Saints Esportsof Formulation Gaming, Twisted Saints Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 57c | 4,529$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.01 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +6.4wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x637b…948bbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 65c | 1,572$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked Twisted Saints Esports | 40c | 1,526$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Formulation Gaming | 28c | 1,248$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.18 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Formulation Gaming | 57c | 1,078$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.89 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Formulation Gaming | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Formulation Gaming | 60c | 833$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.76 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Formulation Gaming | 57c | 786.19$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.52 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Formulation Gaming | 34c | 646.04$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.29 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Formulation Gaming | 25c | 600.32$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.26 | 322 | 45.7%147 W · 175 L | +52.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Twisted Saints Esports | 44c | 579.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.79 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 44c | 562.56$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.03 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fe…5cbfbacked Formulation Gaming | 58c | 524.97$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 50c | 516.24$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Twisted Saints Esports | 44c | 502$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Formulation Gaming | 56c | 493.5$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.41 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa390…c7d9backed Formulation Gaming | 20c | 456.51$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 79 | 20.3%16 W · 63 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Twisted Saints Esports | 42c | 450$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Formulation Gaming | 60c | 449.82$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.69 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…e611backed Formulation Gaming | 58c | 322.96$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Formulation Gaming | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Formulation Gaming | 58c | 298.73$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.06 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Formulation Gaming | 19c | 295$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Formulation Gaming | 75c | 288.98$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.96 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Formulation Gaming | 31c | 275.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.83 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…218ebacked Twisted Saints Esports | 46c | 267.33$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Formulation Gaming | 56c | 261.8$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.61 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -11.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Formulation Gaming | 32c | 259.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Twisted Saints Esports | 77c | 233.59$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Formulation Gaming | 24c | 213.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Formulation Gaming | 24c | 183.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Formulation Gaming | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Twisted Saints Esports | 41c | 179.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.21 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Formulation Gaming | 53c | 166.39$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.69 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x952d…ab8abacked Formulation Gaming | 59c | 156.8$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31de…6003backed Formulation Gaming | 26c | 154.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 22cpaid | +267.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Formulation Gaming | 56c | 142.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed Formulation Gaming | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Twisted Saints Esports | 70c | 105.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Formulation Gaming | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Formulation Gaming | 53c | 94.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…44c7backed Formulation Gaming | 59c | 93.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Formulation Gaming | 23c | 89.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Formulation Gaming | 58c | 86.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Formulation Gaming | 14c | 80.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Twisted Saints Esports | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8a…76a2backed Twisted Saints Esports | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Formulation Gaming | 33c | 78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ea…49e9backed Twisted Saints Esports | 62c | 67.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Twisted Saints Esports | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Twisted Saints Esports | 25c | 48.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Formulation Gaming | 59c | 48.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Formulation Gaming | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Twisted Saints Esports | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 39c | 40.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2d…82c9backed Twisted Saints Esports | 52c | 38.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Formulation Gaming | 47c | 36.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Formulation Gaming | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 80c | 30.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Formulation Gaming | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd668…bf2dbacked Formulation Gaming | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Formulation Gaming vs Twisted Saints Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Athis page
- Valorant: Formulation Gaming vs Twisted Saints Esports - Map 2 WinnerTwisted Saints Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.