Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Formulation Gaming vs Twisted Saints Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfe73dd80c929eb1f35baf0cb5687585b97217ccb4bb5f38bf4896188999f2c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twisted Saints Esportsof Formulation Gaming, Twisted Saints Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 68c | 1,283$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.44 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +6.4wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Formulation Gaming | 42c | 682.18$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.64 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637b…948bbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 61c | 658.13$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Formulation Gaming | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Twisted Saints Esports | 77c | 252.01$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Formulation Gaming | 39c | 215$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Formulation Gaming | 39c | 170$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Formulation Gaming | 17c | 132$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Twisted Saints Esports | 59c | 44.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Twisted Saints Esports | 71c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Formulation Gaming vs Twisted Saints Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Formulation Gaming vs Twisted Saints Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group ATwisted Saints Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.