CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Subtop De France - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f9379966e7a4330edf58e4b70b2ec31d353feaec7be1624fa56114b499958d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lilmixof Lilmix, Subtop De France
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Lilmix | 77c | 3,087$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.78 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Subtop De France | 22c | 611.61$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.83 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Subtop De France | 21c | 528.39$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.51 | 522 | 42.5%222 W · 300 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Subtop De France | 6c | 522.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Subtop De France | 5c | 477.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe91e…9ea8backed Subtop De France | 23c | 421.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.31 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Subtop De France | 29c | 396.02$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 408 | 39.2%160 W · 248 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Subtop De France | 25c | 239.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 359 | 48.5%174 W · 185 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Subtop De France | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Subtop De France | 37c | 180.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 294 | 40.5%119 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lilmix | 72c | 173.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…78e2backed Subtop De France | 35c | 144.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Subtop De France | 26c | 142.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…e611backed Subtop De France | 26c | 142.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Subtop De France | 46c | 135.69$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Subtop De France | 11c | 125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Lilmix | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Lilmix | 50c | 84.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Subtop De France | 25c | 77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Subtop De France | 17c | 75.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 569 | 38.1%217 W · 352 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Subtop De France | 25c | 74.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Subtop De France | 22c | 72.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Subtop De France | 22c | 70.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Subtop De France | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Lilmix | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed Subtop De France | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Subtop De France | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Subtop De France | 36c | 48.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Lilmix | 58c | 47.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Lilmix | 50c | 42.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Subtop De France | 50c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Subtop De France - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Subtop De France (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsSubtop De France won
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Subtop De France - Map 2 WinnerSubtop De France won
- Map Handicap: LILMIX (-1.5) vs Subtop De France (+1.5)Subtop De France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.