CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c0423b937588bbc6f836a5ea03946c27f92b9560d4eff883dfe00043c93d5a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Subtop De Franceof Lilmix, Subtop De France
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Lilmix | 74c | 13,277$9,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,874.02 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Subtop De France | 31c | 3,069$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.82 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Subtop De France | 24c | 2,851$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.65 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…cfd8backed Subtop De France | 32c | 920.86$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.85 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Subtop De France | 19c | 600$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.45 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Subtop De France | 21c | 590.14$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.52 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Subtop De France | 24c | 575.57$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.23 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lilmix | 30c | 520.16$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.38 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Subtop De France | 33c | 471.74$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.83 | 522 | 42.5%222 W · 300 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Subtop De France | 31c | 470.15$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.54 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Subtop De France | 29c | 405.05$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.02 | 408 | 39.2%160 W · 248 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Subtop De France | 37c | 306.52$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.67 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Subtop De France | 37c | 302.03$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.15 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Subtop De France | 30c | 269$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.3 | 498 | 43%214 W · 284 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Subtop De France | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.2 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Subtop De France | 24c | 236$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.91 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Subtop De France | 30c | 231.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.32 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Subtop De France | 29c | 192.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.38 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Subtop De France | 49c | 175.62$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.17 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Subtop De France | 41c | 167.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.46 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Subtop De France | 38c | 140$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…f1c1backed Subtop De France | 41c | 137$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Subtop De France | 30c | 130$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Subtop De France | 50c | 114.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…cc42backed Subtop De France | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Lilmix | 69c | 85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Lilmix | 69c | 63.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Lilmix | 70c | 61.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Subtop De France | 57c | 57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Lilmix | 31c | 56.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Subtop De France | 50c | 49.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Lilmix | 73c | 41.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Subtop De France | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Subtop De France | 31c | 37.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Subtop De France | 48c | 35.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Lilmix | 64c | 34.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Lilmix | 67c | 34.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Lilmix | 49c | 23.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Subtop De France | 54c | 19.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Lilmix | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Lilmix | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Subtop De France (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsSubtop De France won
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Subtop De France - Map 1 WinnerLilmix won
- Map Handicap: LILMIX (-1.5) vs Subtop De France (+1.5)Subtop De France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.