TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Subtop De France (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Subtop De Franceof Lilmix, Subtop De France
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,440
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,484

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,440 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked Lilmix75c20,760$15,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,600.5992456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Subtop De France26c3,410$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,512.015,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Lilmix45c3,128$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.7922241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Subtop De France15c2,840$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,422.522,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Subtop De France35c2,163$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.9275438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Lilmix4c2,100$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902927.6%8 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+307.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Subtop De France39c2,085$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.9963038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f4b…556bbacked Lilmix1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20234.3%1 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-69.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Lilmix2c1,800$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441618.8%3 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick7cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Subtop De France19c1,747$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.0251942.2%219 W · 300 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Subtop De France31c1,663$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.1914151.8%73 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Subtop De France39c854.54$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.332,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Subtop De France48c842.57$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.1236649.5%181 W · 185 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed Subtop De France79c700$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14720562.4%128 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Lilmix79c663.09$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.145465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Subtop De France32c643.49$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.2388330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Lilmix45c571.47$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.2866446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Subtop De France58c558.44$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.9458745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Subtop De France39c549.93$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.923,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Lilmix47c500.87$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.112,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4ccc…77abbacked Subtop De France76c500.04$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.012623.1%6 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-59.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2f9…cfd8backed Subtop De France34c499.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.996643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0289…cb50backed Subtop De France71c487.26$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.593647.2%17 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Subtop De France69c464.35$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.463,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Subtop De France16c441.54$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.341,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Subtop De France30c439.9$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.821,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Subtop De France8c439.04$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.521,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Lilmix52c399.19$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.051,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Subtop De France34c395.13$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.1824551.8%127 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Subtop De France19c377.44$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.841,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Subtop De France30c376.66$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.5275833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Subtop De France35c375$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.2549143%211 W · 280 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Subtop De France43c364.95$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.8491743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Subtop De France46c320.89$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.886,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c6…a5c9backed Subtop De France29c303.61$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.5623146.3%107 W · 124 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec5a…cd56backed Subtop De France48c303.4$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1711742.7%50 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec3c…528ebacked Subtop De France50c292.6$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.053652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Subtop De France26c289.88$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4940639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Subtop De France19c283.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.012,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Lilmix22c274.13$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.42,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Subtop De France38c269.4$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.7577351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6384…3d67backed Subtop De France73c267.41$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.913663.9%23 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Subtop De France65c267.4$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7941050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Subtop De France46c266.17$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8273948.4%358 W · 381 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Lilmix4c260$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1170%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7220…ec5abacked Subtop De France59c256.85$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Subtop De France52c253.65$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.573,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Subtop De France8c250$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Subtop De France41c239.91$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.852,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lilmix70c238.98$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.285,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe91e…9ea8backed Subtop De France62c213.97$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4310338.8%40 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Subtop De France46c201.06$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.244,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c52…9eaebacked Lilmix11c200$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218332.5%27 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d6…423dbacked Lilmix20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408240.2%33 W · 49 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed Lilmix75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed Subtop De France59c199.97$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7921143.1%91 W · 120 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed Subtop De France31c197.2$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.4747054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf54b…91f7backed Lilmix55c195.34$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2916538.8%64 W · 101 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Subtop De France35c192$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.732139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Subtop De France30c170.55$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.844,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Subtop De France56c170.49$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee22…7054backed Subtop De France24c166.58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.611844.1%52 W · 66 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb3…6bfebacked Lilmix65c165$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.257540%30 W · 45 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Subtop De France12c155$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.4925643.4%111 W · 145 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Subtop De France46c142.05$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1979951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Subtop De France35c134.09$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3251252.1%267 W · 245 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Lilmix72c132.69$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Subtop De France32c127.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.761,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Subtop De France41c121.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.81,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Lilmix33c113$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6960032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Lilmix72c111.47$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.421,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Subtop De France25c104.12$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0919050%95 W · 95 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked Lilmix28c98.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5811831.4%37 W · 81 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Subtop De France30c95.31$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6967547.3%319 W · 356 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3685…6d99backed Subtop De France45c94$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.712948.1%62 W · 67 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Lilmix67c90.74$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0218645.2%84 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30b8…b6a0backed Subtop De France48c83.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.42955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fdb…0d6fbacked Subtop De France32c77.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2511639.7%46 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Subtop De France42c77.04$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3635141.6%146 W · 205 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed Subtop De France34c74.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4931241.3%129 W · 183 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa77c…e948backed Lilmix37c67.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252213.6%3 W · 19 L-6.5wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-72.9%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked Subtop De France71c65.85$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8437441.7%156 W · 218 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb3e…9120backed Subtop De France17c64.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7114641.1%60 W · 86 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Subtop De France29c61.35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.551,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Subtop De France77c60.74$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.222,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b33…98ffbacked Subtop De France27c59.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.26666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+69.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6376…d0a7backed Lilmix57c56.14$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Lilmix63c54.05$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0527940.5%113 W · 166 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Subtop De France39c51.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3812654.8%69 W · 57 L+11.3wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Subtop De France55c50.49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7265662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d94…cc42backed Lilmix66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.12842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Lilmix48c49.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.742,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Lilmix63c45.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7413246.2%61 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7415…b585backed Subtop De France41c45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.654845.8%22 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Subtop De France45c44.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0996543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked Lilmix63c41.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2938469.5%267 W · 117 L+31.6wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a4e…8e54backed Subtop De France73c41.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.37966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da8…baeebacked Subtop De France73c41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.893171%22 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda30…1d71backed Lilmix64c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df0…95b3backed Lilmix66c39.02$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7513871%98 W · 40 L+15.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+17.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.