Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec35c81502959130af821fdcd68c88bb0498c9330ecd6c14b9ede9cdba9786d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Shopify Rebellion Black
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed M80 | 60c | 17,000$10,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,801.44 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 40c | 16,391$6,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,556.2 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed M80 | 54c | 3,081$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.58 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…b756backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 40c | 2,419$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.54 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 31c | 1,510$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.3 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed M80 | 64c | 1,423$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed M80 | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked M80 | 53c | 958.48$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.53 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 39c | 719.03$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.37 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 56c | 699.99$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed M80 | 50c | 682$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 53c | 632.97$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.85 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 41c | 616.51$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 37c | 602.42$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.88 | 211 | 36.5%77 W · 134 L | -15.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 48c | 581.24$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.99 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…04b2backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 41c | 569$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…b15bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 52c | 536.49$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 53c | 446.7$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.75 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 28c | 408.93$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.53 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 32c | 398.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.51 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 37c | 395.5$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.55 | 269 | 32.3%87 W · 182 L | -25.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed M80 | 41c | 355.6$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.77 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 45c | 308$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.43 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked M80 | 46c | 299.94$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.01 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 45c | 276.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed M80 | 74c | 269.43$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…f078backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 52c | 257.73$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.94 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed M80 | 56c | 254$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.02 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 35c | 236.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…613bbacked M80 | 52c | 235.71$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.18 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 41c | 230$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…9064backed M80 | 54c | 229.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked M80 | 52c | 193.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 104 | 60.6%63 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585e…019fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 54c | 184.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked M80 | 61c | 171.3$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 41c | 167.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked M80 | 60c | 166$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 33c | 160$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 46c | 155$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed M80 | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…980abacked M80 | 62c | 134.75$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 38c | 133.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 45c | 128.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed M80 | 47c | 122.24$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 186 | 47.8%89 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed M80 | 60c | 121.4$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 45c | 119.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 49c | 119.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 35c | 114.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 27c | 109.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked M80 | 49c | 109$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked M80 | 60c | 103.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed M80 | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a7…3a99backed M80 | 50c | 99.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed M80 | 75c | 93.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f9…7d44backed M80 | 73c | 90.21$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 35c | 85.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed M80 | 50c | 80.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed M80 | 61c | 73.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed M80 | 62c | 67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed M80 | 80c | 62.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked M80 | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 109 | 75.2%82 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 37c | 54.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 40c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed M80 | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 29c | 47.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…e611backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 30c | 46.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked M80 | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b4…f4f5backed M80 | 54c | 45.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed M80 | 48c | 41.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed M80 | 53c | 39.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6128…b3e7backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4b…50c5backed M80 | 60c | 34.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked M80 | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 41c | 29.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked M80 | 59c | 28.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…abf3backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 49c | 26.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed M80 | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…59eabacked M80 | 71c | 24.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed M80 | 49c | 23.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 193 | 37.8%73 W · 120 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…74d3backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 53c | 22.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe456…cf49backed M80 | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0550…39e0backed M80 | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked M80 | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 345 | 71%245 W · 100 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed M80 | 60c | 18.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 2 WinnerShopify Rebellion Black won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.