TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virtus.proof CYBERSHOKE Esports, Virtus.pro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,184
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,184 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd8f8…e7e3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports50c64,933$32,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,242.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-54.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed Virtus.pro52c40,000$20,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,199.9817951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4301…f601backed Virtus.pro48c10,000$4,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.1520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed CYBERSHOKE Esports47c7,365$3,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,461.484958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Virtus.pro53c5,881$3,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,764.1422943.7%100 W · 129 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Virtus.pro73c4,553$3,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.7263157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Virtus.pro50c4,501$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,233.785,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Virtus.pro51c3,562$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.851,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Virtus.pro48c3,264$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.4510749.5%53 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c13…71a1backed Virtus.pro48c3,100$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.823545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c5…6930backed Virtus.pro48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+88.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed CYBERSHOKE Esports46c2,833$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.5466851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Virtus.pro48c1,667$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.6719061.6%117 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Virtus.pro69c1,624$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.612,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed CYBERSHOKE Esports51c1,621$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.792,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Virtus.pro79c1,446$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.763,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e03…040fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports52c1,381$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.691040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb12…6a81backed CYBERSHOKE Esports47c1,373$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.28548.2%41 W · 44 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Virtus.pro48c1,356$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.1249536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed CYBERSHOKE Esports49c1,353$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.1511247.3%53 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports51c1,270$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.651,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Virtus.pro79c1,242$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.0551942.2%219 W · 300 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Virtus.pro53c1,231$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.631,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53d3…cc48backed CYBERSHOKE Esports52c1,200$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.812236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports50c1,106$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.188047.5%38 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports52c1,053$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.778644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Virtus.pro50c1,006$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.9546555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Virtus.pro47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53060853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Virtus.pro51c999.98$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9959755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked Virtus.pro56c893.13$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.1219357%110 W · 83 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed CYBERSHOKE Esports49c871.75$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.1628843.1%124 W · 164 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports9c823.74$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.142,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed CYBERSHOKE Esports49c745.53$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.5438841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3783…0038backed Virtus.pro54c741.59$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.597638.2%29 W · 47 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed CYBERSHOKE Esports48c700$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3365,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed CYBERSHOKE Esports15c699.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10755941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Virtus.pro80c663.62$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.774,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed Virtus.pro48c599.99$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31238052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed CYBERSHOKE Esports48c583.32$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9964854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Virtus.pro52c576.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.969159.3%54 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Virtus.pro53c556.06$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.3598052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d99…9c27backed CYBERSHOKE Esports47c499.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9914439.6%57 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Virtus.pro48c470.46$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.6440639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcce…c920backed CYBERSHOKE Esports18c462.03$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8317361.3%106 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed CYBERSHOKE Esports49c452.3$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.6152150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Virtus.pro51c450$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.594645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd73e…bb87backed CYBERSHOKE Esports17c438.33$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7413857.2%79 W · 59 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Virtus.pro48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6748242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Virtus.pro58c415.68$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.663,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Virtus.pro48c386$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7227940.5%113 W · 166 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xced1…280ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports48c381.77$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.253056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Virtus.pro54c364.58$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.0848948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports48c359.87$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.7439338.2%150 W · 243 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports34c347.33$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.95,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed Virtus.pro53c344.15$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.7547054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports50c333.3$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3124746.6%115 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Virtus.pro53c318.8$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9175833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Virtus.pro47c318$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5421945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed CYBERSHOKE Esports49c306.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.996937.7%26 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed CYBERSHOKE Esports49c304.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.996741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae22…3ab3backed Virtus.pro50c296.34$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.264151.2%21 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Virtus.pro48c293$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3574054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed CYBERSHOKE Esports21c279$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1339440.4%159 W · 235 L+30.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Virtus.pro52c275.51$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7337848.1%182 W · 196 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked Virtus.pro48c267.69$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.499837.8%37 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed Virtus.pro61c256.48$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4441475.4%312 W · 102 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked Virtus.pro52c238.46$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.465731.6%18 W · 39 L-8.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed CYBERSHOKE Esports14c229$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.415,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039955.4%221 W · 178 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports49c204.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.019044.4%40 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed CYBERSHOKE Esports49c203.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5948851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Virtus.pro51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9818549.2%91 W · 94 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10441250.2%207 W · 205 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Virtus.pro48c199$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4838844.3%172 W · 216 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aaa…e611backed Virtus.pro48c198$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.963240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Virtus.pro50c197.4$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.710143.6%44 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Virtus.pro57c194.89$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.481,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Virtus.pro52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3125252.8%133 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeeae…a2fabacked Virtus.pro53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.687350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed CYBERSHOKE Esports49c175.61$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0599148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef2…44c9backed Virtus.pro48c175$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Virtus.pro49c174.24$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.595147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfd1…cd25backed Virtus.pro52c173.08$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.084454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed CYBERSHOKE Esports49c163.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8026650.8%135 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed CYBERSHOKE Esports49c159.44$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.437345.2%33 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Virtus.pro53c152.5$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0211155%61 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Virtus.pro59c152.27$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.181,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed CYBERSHOKE Esports47c150$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.520047.5%95 W · 105 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Virtus.pro77c149.03$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.012,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed CYBERSHOKE Esports40c146.63$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.651,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports50c145$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.532458%188 W · 136 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd2…9120backed Virtus.pro72c142.71$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.781675%12 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Virtus.pro52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6254543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd30…fc9bbacked Virtus.pro49c122.01$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.039443.6%41 W · 53 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed CYBERSHOKE Esports48c120$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.465946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports48c116$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.441,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Virtus.pro49c111.76$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.41,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1efb…dd8abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports28c106.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.937946.8%37 W · 42 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x516b…2dcfbacked Virtus.pro48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.179545.3%43 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.