CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7060ae1951218897b23abdd4cebdb22a6beea7e159f5527878f6926642ad44b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof CYBERSHOKE Esports, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 14c | 1,591$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.11 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 36c | 436.55$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.16 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…7634backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 24c | 408.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 54c | 398.04$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.75 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 9c | 392.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 14c | 386.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 41c | 248.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 242.45$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.65 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 177$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 18c | 140$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 123$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7077…850ebacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 28c | 71.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Virtus.pro | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Virtus.pro | 76c | 37.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf4…0e3dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 42c | 27.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Virtus.pro | 73c | 19.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship PlayoffsVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Virtus.pro won
- Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5)Virtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.