TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs regain (BO3) - BLAST Open North American Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
regainof Marsborne, regain
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,758
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,221

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,758 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Marsborne75c7,020$5,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,239.975,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed regain26c4,552$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,385.4433327.9%93 W · 240 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed regain26c2,350$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.941,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Marsborne1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Marsborne63c1,716$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.116,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marsborne74c1,347$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.775,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Marsborne72c1,147$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.332,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed regain55c951.05$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.0813253.8%71 W · 61 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed regain26c846.65$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.322843.9%100 W · 128 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Marsborne40c695.54$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.354,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Marsborne76c666.67$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.6759055.3%326 W · 264 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Marsborne75c666.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50045854.8%251 W · 207 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed regain24c618$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.681,06242.2%448 W · 614 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Marsborne75c605.46$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.912,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed regain37c557.79$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.924,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Marsborne74c540.43$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.551,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Marsborne47c523.23$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.413,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Marsborne61c509.18$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.232,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed regain43c499.99$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.4221143.1%91 W · 120 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Marsborne53c499.96$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.982,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Marsborne73c473.62$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.6814846.6%69 W · 79 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked regain27c431.42$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.793,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Marsborne73c428.49$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.87,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked regain27c402$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.885455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked regain25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30035131.1%109 W · 242 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed regain26c391.42$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6548040%192 W · 288 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked regain25c353.94$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.5558343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed regain58c349.99$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14749050.6%248 W · 242 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Marsborne74c342$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.089058.9%53 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked regain60c333.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.479461.7%58 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked regain32c313.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.283,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Marsborne75c300$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22598248.3%474 W · 508 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Marsborne20c281.47$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.61,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b68…08bbbacked regain25c278$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Marsborne74c262.87$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5289046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba46…6ac5backed Marsborne71c258.24$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.947374%54 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6aaa…e611backed regain26c258$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.923240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked regain24c255.77$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.8791245.8%418 W · 494 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf8…043dbacked regain25c234.27$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.71442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked regain48c209.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9158149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed regain31c207.2$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.982,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked regain30c198.94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9418647.3%88 W · 98 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Marsborne48c193$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.232,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed regain26c192.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.320046%92 W · 108 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked regain24c190$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.44139%16 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed regain27c175.72$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.781,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Marsborne74c170.86$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.441,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ffa…7710backed regain22c168.41$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.7210643.4%46 W · 60 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked regain41c166.13$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.214,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed Marsborne75c163.33$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.546354%250 W · 213 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd85…1d60backed Marsborne73c161.69$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8120147.3%95 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed regain30c159$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.552,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked regain29c140.85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008744.8%39 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Marsborne28c139.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7859732.2%192 W · 405 L-49.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-38.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed regain25c133.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018645.2%84 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked regain34c121.32$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.962,45434.4%845 W · 1,609 L-189.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Marsborne59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0466446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf21…667bbacked regain25c120$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905843.1%25 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed Marsborne72c118$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9669732%223 W · 474 L-46.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Marsborne47c116.25$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5561138.1%233 W · 378 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked regain27c113.01$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.52,20547.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L-4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed regain47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3839455.3%218 W · 176 L+17.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Marsborne39c105$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.643,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked regain29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4516032.5%52 W · 108 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb5…2d03backed regain24c103.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.388240.2%33 W · 49 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed regain26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7417041.2%70 W · 100 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed1…908cbacked regain25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7520637.9%78 W · 128 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8084…f4a3backed regain21c99.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.043727%10 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Marsborne73c96.75$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6350952.1%265 W · 244 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Marsborne65c93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0987330.9%270 W · 603 L-62.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked regain24c91.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.627740.8%113 W · 164 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked regain28c91$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.161,83041.6%762 W · 1,068 L-68.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Marsborne62c90.72$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.292,08447%979 W · 1,105 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked regain32c88$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7618248.9%89 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3702…9b19backed regain64c86$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.969533.7%32 W · 63 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked regain25c83.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5238032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked regain30c83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.892,33042.5%991 W · 1,339 L-71.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed regain31c80.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5832139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Marsborne65c80$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521,27471.5%911 W · 363 L+3.3wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked regain29c79$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.382,11942.9%909 W · 1,210 L-66.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed regain46c78.22$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.530859.1%182 W · 126 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9107…75e0backed regain27c74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.026924.6%17 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed regain27c72.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.918737.9%33 W · 54 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Marsborne74c70.68$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.340857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked regain29c70$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.921,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Marsborne74c66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8445754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe91e…9ea8backed Marsborne76c65.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6610338.8%40 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Marsborne74c65$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.121251.9%110 W · 102 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Marsborne74c62.06$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.951446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e2a…4fd0backed regain24c62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.95742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Marsborne61c61.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.094,04050.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L+71.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ac…2fb7backed Marsborne80c60$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.717866.3%118 W · 60 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x234e…1160backed regain26c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3541437%153 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked Marsborne66c59.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.68031.3%25 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Marsborne26c55.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6849041.8%205 W · 285 L-18.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked regain58c55.17$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1722037.3%82 W · 138 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked regain24c50.97$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7433740.9%138 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Marsborne75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.567350.1%337 W · 336 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed regain31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.526244.3%116 W · 146 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed regain27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.53438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.