CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs regain (BO3) - BLAST Open North American Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff222bbc1240bc0d688632569a512e89c8f73cc31d7f3e8b65cac347f1b48ee4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- regainof Marsborne, regain
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Marsborne | 75c | 7,020$5,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,239.97 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed regain | 26c | 4,552$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,385.44 | 333 | 27.9%93 W · 240 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed regain | 26c | 2,350$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.94 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Marsborne | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Marsborne | 63c | 1,716$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.11 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marsborne | 74c | 1,347$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.77 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Marsborne | 72c | 1,147$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.33 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed regain | 55c | 951.05$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.08 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed regain | 26c | 846.65$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.3 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Marsborne | 40c | 695.54$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.35 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Marsborne | 76c | 666.67$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.67 | 590 | 55.3%326 W · 264 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Marsborne | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 458 | 54.8%251 W · 207 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed regain | 24c | 618$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.68 | 1,062 | 42.2%448 W · 614 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Marsborne | 75c | 605.46$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.91 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed regain | 37c | 557.79$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.92 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Marsborne | 74c | 540.43$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.55 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Marsborne | 47c | 523.23$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.41 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Marsborne | 61c | 509.18$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.23 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed regain | 43c | 499.99$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.42 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Marsborne | 53c | 499.96$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.98 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Marsborne | 73c | 473.62$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.68 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked regain | 27c | 431.42$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.79 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marsborne | 73c | 428.49$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.8 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked regain | 27c | 402$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.88 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked regain | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed regain | 26c | 391.42$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.65 | 480 | 40%192 W · 288 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked regain | 25c | 353.94$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.55 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed regain | 58c | 349.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 490 | 50.6%248 W · 242 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Marsborne | 74c | 342$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.08 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked regain | 60c | 333.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 94 | 61.7%58 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked regain | 32c | 313.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.28 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Marsborne | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 982 | 48.3%474 W · 508 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Marsborne | 20c | 281.47$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b68…08bbbacked regain | 25c | 278$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Marsborne | 74c | 262.87$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.52 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Marsborne | 71c | 258.24$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.94 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…e611backed regain | 26c | 258$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.92 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked regain | 24c | 255.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.87 | 912 | 45.8%418 W · 494 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf8…043dbacked regain | 25c | 234.27$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked regain | 48c | 209.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.91 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed regain | 31c | 207.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.98 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked regain | 30c | 198.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.94 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Marsborne | 48c | 193$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed regain | 26c | 192.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.3 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked regain | 24c | 190$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed regain | 27c | 175.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.78 | 1,567 | 29.8%467 W · 1,100 L | -86.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Marsborne | 74c | 170.86$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.44 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed regain | 22c | 168.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.72 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked regain | 41c | 166.13$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Marsborne | 75c | 163.33$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 463 | 54%250 W · 213 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd85…1d60backed Marsborne | 73c | 161.69$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.81 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed regain | 30c | 159$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.55 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked regain | 29c | 140.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Marsborne | 28c | 139.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 597 | 32.2%192 W · 405 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed regain | 25c | 133.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 186 | 45.2%84 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked regain | 34c | 121.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Marsborne | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked regain | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Marsborne | 72c | 118$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Marsborne | 47c | 116.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 611 | 38.1%233 W · 378 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked regain | 27c | 113.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed regain | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 394 | 55.3%218 W · 176 L | +17.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Marsborne | 39c | 105$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked regain | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed regain | 24c | 103.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed regain | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked regain | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 206 | 37.9%78 W · 128 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…f4a3backed regain | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Marsborne | 73c | 96.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.63 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Marsborne | 65c | 93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 873 | 30.9%270 W · 603 L | -62.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked regain | 24c | 91.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked regain | 28c | 91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Marsborne | 62c | 90.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked regain | 32c | 88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…9b19backed regain | 64c | 86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked regain | 25c | 83.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked regain | 30c | 83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed regain | 31c | 80.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Marsborne | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked regain | 29c | 79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed regain | 46c | 78.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…75e0backed regain | 27c | 74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed regain | 27c | 72.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Marsborne | 74c | 70.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked regain | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Marsborne | 74c | 66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe91e…9ea8backed Marsborne | 76c | 65.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Marsborne | 74c | 65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Marsborne | 74c | 62.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2a…4fd0backed regain | 24c | 62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Marsborne | 61c | 61.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ac…2fb7backed Marsborne | 80c | 60$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed regain | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Marsborne | 66c | 59.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Marsborne | 26c | 55.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 490 | 41.8%205 W · 285 L | -18.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked regain | 58c | 55.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked regain | 24c | 50.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 337 | 40.9%138 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Marsborne | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 673 | 50.1%337 W · 336 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed regain | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed regain | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs regain (BO3) - BLAST Open North American Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs regain - Map 1 WinnerMarsborne won
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs regain - Map 2 Winnerregain won
- Map Handicap: MARS (-1.5) vs regain (+1.5)regain won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.