CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs regain - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdf70a019fb10956f54b5c1b6278337e2419dabf9fd6c633e394afdaf91dd4d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- regainof Marsborne, regain
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed Marsborne | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Marsborne | 69c | 1,502$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.43 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Marsborne | 67c | 1,011$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.47 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked regain | 29c | 970$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.8 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Marsborne | 62c | 907.52$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.71 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Marsborne | 67c | 820.11$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.69 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Marsborne | 72c | 796.3$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.17 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked regain | 35c | 641.49$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.97 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked regain | 31c | 310$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.3 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked regain | 31c | 300$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed regain | 31c | 242.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.21 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked regain | 21c | 209.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.52 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed regain | 21c | 204.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.76 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed regain | 34c | 191.27$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.96 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Marsborne | 49c | 190.71$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked regain | 30c | 171.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Marsborne | 68c | 166.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.01 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed regain | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked regain | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked regain | 29c | 140$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Marsborne | 13c | 129.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Marsborne | 50c | 128$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked regain | 55c | 118.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked regain | 29c | 108.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Marsborne | 22c | 102$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked regain | 30c | 97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.73 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed regain | 24c | 80$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked regain | 24c | 80$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Marsborne | 53c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Marsborne | 54c | 74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed regain | 35c | 72.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked regain | 30c | 60.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Marsborne | 57c | 56.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed regain | 41c | 52.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked regain | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed regain | 32c | 43.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Marsborne | 53c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed regain | 55c | 39.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked regain | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed regain | 29c | 35.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed regain | 31c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed regain | 35c | 31.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Marsborne | 48c | 31.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked regain | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Marsborne | 51c | 25.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Marsborne | 72c | 22.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs regain - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs regain (BO3) - BLAST Open North American Qualifier Playoffsregain won
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs regain - Map 1 WinnerMarsborne won
- Map Handicap: MARS (-1.5) vs regain (+1.5)regain won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.