TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
QUAZARof The Last Resort, QUAZAR
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,786
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,349

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,786 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2526…218ebacked QUAZAR58c9,860$5,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,118.344973.5%36 W · 13 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked QUAZAR61c8,744$5,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,393.5292456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked The Last Resort40c8,020$3,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,235.451,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed The Last Resort42c6,834$2,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,837.4651252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed QUAZAR60c6,168$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,467.8784958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed QUAZAR60c4,566$2,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.5566851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked QUAZAR65c3,885$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.341,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed The Last Resort39c3,511$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.8738841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked The Last Resort31c2,673$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.952,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked The Last Resort41c2,664$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.597,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed The Last Resort40c2,641$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.2114051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed QUAZAR61c2,600$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.7324551.8%127 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed QUAZAR61c2,303$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.212,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed The Last Resort24c2,138$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.36,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed The Last Resort26c1,903$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.463823.7%9 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked The Last Resort25c1,880$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.0519229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed The Last Resort43c1,864$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1050…43afbacked QUAZAR74c1,735$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed The Last Resort39c1,650$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.491,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed QUAZAR61c1,530$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.8220743%89 W · 118 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed The Last Resort30c1,388$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.5288330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b7c…763fbacked QUAZAR58c1,300$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5461566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked The Last Resort41c1,234$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.9427940.5%113 W · 166 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked The Last Resort41c1,167$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.155,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed The Last Resort40c1,146$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.2852150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed The Last Resort1c1,072$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.638312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed The Last Resort25c1,029$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.695,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked QUAZAR76c1,012$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.8743152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked The Last Resort43c1,010$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.2929154%157 W · 134 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked The Last Resort36c1,004$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.3119357%110 W · 83 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed QUAZAR66c1,000$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.8215244.7%68 W · 84 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed QUAZAR61c999$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.6123356.2%131 W · 102 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked The Last Resort44c926.94$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.2622645.1%102 W · 124 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9044…dcedbacked The Last Resort42c863.2$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3616755.2%37 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6d3…bab9backed The Last Resort41c848.01$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.3717044.1%75 W · 95 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked The Last Resort40c818.68$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.668537.6%32 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bf1…294fbacked QUAZAR59c816.64$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.4213642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed The Last Resort42c809.24$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.2855039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked The Last Resort40c720$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28848845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed The Last Resort40c697.5$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27923732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed QUAZAR58c684.65$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.5524746.2%114 W · 133 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed QUAZAR64c600$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21535861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69f2…a80dbacked QUAZAR58c549.99$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23110262.7%64 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60e…3f04backed The Last Resort36c547$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.922437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed QUAZAR64c544.34$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.3545465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed The Last Resort40c530.8$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.3231241.3%129 W · 183 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed QUAZAR66c519.72$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.7829543.1%127 W · 168 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed The Last Resort38c502.39$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19142638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed QUAZAR56c502.37$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.331,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed QUAZAR60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20030155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b77…6ba1backed The Last Resort43c499.95$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.983426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked QUAZAR66c495.27$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.7113371.4%95 W · 38 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed The Last Resort30c483.78$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3368659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked The Last Resort47c455.42$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.633,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked QUAZAR61c449.98$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9919546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed QUAZAR61c427.37$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.4564854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed QUAZAR64c427.32$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.152,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed The Last Resort40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1607935.4%28 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd547…64c4backed The Last Resort32c383.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.262321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked QUAZAR66c375.95$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9730450.7%154 W · 150 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed The Last Resort41c375.82$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.4810731.8%34 W · 73 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f31…f6b2backed QUAZAR74c375.3$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed QUAZAR57c351.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3731761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed The Last Resort43c350$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.56544.6%29 W · 36 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd83…d102backed The Last Resort40c350$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010047%47 W · 53 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x252f…a065backed The Last Resort10c347.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347834.6%27 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed QUAZAR60c330$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13238052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4916…f78fbacked The Last Resort36c329.51$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203119.4%6 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-44.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked The Last Resort36c327.8$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.912071.7%86 W · 34 L+16.7wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfadf…8c2cbacked QUAZAR53c318$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.232969%20 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed The Last Resort16c310.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9214735.4%52 W · 95 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed The Last Resort26c306$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.345,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cb5…2d03backed The Last Resort40c300.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.368240.2%33 W · 49 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed The Last Resort39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11799148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed The Last Resort27c293.28$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8029731%92 W · 205 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dec…53b0backed QUAZAR67c286.63$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.41546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked The Last Resort38c278.09$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.75,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed The Last Resort38c277.77$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.212,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed QUAZAR73c274.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.115766.7%38 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a9c…fc2bbacked The Last Resort37c271.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002821.4%6 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-54.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1af1…8bd4backed The Last Resort42c270$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.275143.1%22 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked The Last Resort22c267.96$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.783,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa24a…8382backed The Last Resort34c264.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.114248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked QUAZAR58c253$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2635131.1%109 W · 242 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x937e…8022backed The Last Resort30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+66.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed The Last Resort25c243.88$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6239038.5%150 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked The Last Resort20c241.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1510947.7%52 W · 57 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3685…6d99backed QUAZAR75c238$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.512948.1%62 W · 67 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed QUAZAR64c237.48$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.624,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3f…d042backed The Last Resort42c234.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4825%2 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-64.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed The Last Resort41c232.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2369445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed The Last Resort45c230.53$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7465546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f50…e12bbacked The Last Resort37c219.88$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.284942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30dc…f26ebacked The Last Resort40c207.75$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.116236.4%59 W · 103 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3556…3fb4backed The Last Resort40c207.26$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.92138.1%8 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed QUAZAR65c201.92$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8715958.5%93 W · 66 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23e8…4fffbacked The Last Resort40c201.66$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.663253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked The Last Resort39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7815648.1%75 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked The Last Resort34c199.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.661,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed The Last Resort39c199.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9433146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.