CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs OlyBet SB - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f25adae3155bce4e28d910efb906229885e0d33dce4cfb1f84788d74397ed94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, OlyBet SB
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed OlyBet SB | 29c | 2,886$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.48 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…47d2backed Misa Esports | 72c | 2,747$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.66 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed Misa Esports | 69c | 2,159$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.58 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked OlyBet SB | 31c | 2,080$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.76 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed OlyBet SB | 18c | 1,242$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.77 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed OlyBet SB | 17c | 1,226$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Misa Esports | 76c | 1,160$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.39 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked OlyBet SB | 25c | 787.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked OlyBet SB | 21c | 735.68$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.07 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed OlyBet SB | 31c | 575.67$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.46 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Misa Esports | 75c | 503.24$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.09 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed OlyBet SB | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked OlyBet SB | 15c | 360.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked OlyBet SB | 17c | 352.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed OlyBet SB | 18c | 327.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…72d2backed OlyBet SB | 18c | 325.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Misa Esports | 75c | 305$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed OlyBet SB | 13c | 268.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…e611backed OlyBet SB | 24c | 263.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8830…1cdfbacked Misa Esports | 71c | 251.79$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked OlyBet SB | 16c | 248$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed OlyBet SB | 16c | 244.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked OlyBet SB | 30c | 214.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Misa Esports | 75c | 179.36$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Misa Esports | 80c | 176.25$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked OlyBet SB | 12c | 160.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked OlyBet SB | 15c | 154.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadd6…8efebacked Misa Esports | 56c | 147.42$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa14e…abf6backed Misa Esports | 78c | 140.92$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…0e9cbacked OlyBet SB | 29c | 135$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OlyBet SB | 27c | 134.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed OlyBet SB | 12c | 133.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Misa Esports | 79c | 126.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Misa Esports | 73c | 124.31$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Misa Esports | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed OlyBet SB | 40c | 107.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…e18fbacked OlyBet SB | 29c | 100.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Misa Esports | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed OlyBet SB | 27c | 95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Misa Esports | 78c | 90.38$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…bbd3backed OlyBet SB | 30c | 89.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5e…fa88backed OlyBet SB | 15c | 72.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed OlyBet SB | 30c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed OlyBet SB | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked OlyBet SB | 25c | 47.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked OlyBet SB | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…a6d3backed Misa Esports | 72c | 39.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Misa Esports | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed OlyBet SB | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e8…e69cbacked Misa Esports | 72c | 34.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…28c3backed Misa Esports | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Misa Esports | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Misa Esports | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…eb73backed Misa Esports | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Misa Esports | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…5f9cbacked Misa Esports | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs OlyBet SB - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group DMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs OlyBet SB - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs OlyBet SB (+1.5)Misa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.