CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs OlyBet SB - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad78383fd0278d42b7ffb13ac79c793075a55d87185a3ecc782a6c2c2c6a8576
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, OlyBet SB
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OlyBet SB | 17c | 5,475$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.75 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Misa Esports | 75c | 1,359$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.32 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed OlyBet SB | 17c | 1,061$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed OlyBet SB | 9c | 949.7$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 821 | 42.5%349 W · 472 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked OlyBet SB | 15c | 912$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.59 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed OlyBet SB | 16c | 907$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.41 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed OlyBet SB | 15c | 901.45$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.74 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked OlyBet SB | 16c | 872.88$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.67 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked OlyBet SB | 16c | 867.8$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.54 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed OlyBet SB | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked OlyBet SB | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…194fbacked OlyBet SB | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked OlyBet SB | 16c | 558.26$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.22 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked OlyBet SB | 17c | 537.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed OlyBet SB | 9c | 513$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed OlyBet SB | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | +20.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked OlyBet SB | 25c | 455.04$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked OlyBet SB | 17c | 424.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked OlyBet SB | 11c | 386.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked OlyBet SB | 16c | 322.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked OlyBet SB | 32c | 312.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…72d2backed OlyBet SB | 16c | 274.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed OlyBet SB | 17c | 254.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed OlyBet SB | 16c | 253.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed OlyBet SB | 30c | 226.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Misa Esports | 77c | 220$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 213 | 60.1%128 W · 85 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed OlyBet SB | 17c | 177$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed OlyBet SB | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed OlyBet SB | 13c | 103.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Misa Esports | 79c | 103.42$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed OlyBet SB | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Misa Esports | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…df6dbacked Misa Esports | 79c | 26.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 108 | 67.6%73 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Misa Esports | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs OlyBet SB - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group DMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs OlyBet SB - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs OlyBet SB (+1.5)Misa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.