CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs OlyBet SB (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f0aa52f8b006a6724edf324116261637bc641949581bc7aa7d1af43ae66c223
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, OlyBet SB
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x920b…47d2backed Misa Esports | 56c | 27,065$15,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,918.22 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked OlyBet SB | 44c | 15,284$6,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,758.73 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed OlyBet SB | 43c | 6,827$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957.42 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…a6d3backed Misa Esports | 61c | 4,035$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.54 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed OlyBet SB | 33c | 2,368$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.02 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked OlyBet SB | 41c | 2,108$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.12 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked OlyBet SB | 40c | 1,501$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Misa Esports | 65c | 1,428$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.26 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked OlyBet SB | 43c | 1,137$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.33 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed OlyBet SB | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Misa Esports | 68c | 1,079$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.47 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Misa Esports | 59c | 944$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.36 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed OlyBet SB | 44c | 909.09$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.92 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed Misa Esports | 68c | 823.94$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.12 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8830…1cdfbacked Misa Esports | 68c | 783.92$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed OlyBet SB | 43c | 771.86$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.45 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…47edbacked OlyBet SB | 45c | 645.01$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.25 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…9c0dbacked OlyBet SB | 35c | 605.39$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed OlyBet SB | 33c | 597.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked OlyBet SB | 31c | 585$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.35 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Misa Esports | 56c | 504.99$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.95 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Misa Esports | 70c | 499.99$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed OlyBet SB | 45c | 463.69$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.66 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed OlyBet SB | 36c | 462.41$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.28 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed OlyBet SB | 31c | 406.16$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.91 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Misa Esports | 59c | 375$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.25 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed OlyBet SB | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed OlyBet SB | 34c | 298.59$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…cd39backed OlyBet SB | 45c | 258$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed OlyBet SB | 31c | 250$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…bad0backed OlyBet SB | 45c | 232.49$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed OlyBet SB | 41c | 170$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed OlyBet SB | 31c | 151.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Misa Esports | 65c | 150.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ca…7d49backed OlyBet SB | 44c | 124.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14e…abf6backed Misa Esports | 64c | 116.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Misa Esports | 66c | 110.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed OlyBet SB | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19a…2d2dbacked OlyBet SB | 33c | 92.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked OlyBet SB | 45c | 90.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Misa Esports | 59c | 87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed OlyBet SB | 31c | 83.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed OlyBet SB | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…ca89backed OlyBet SB | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Misa Esports | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed OlyBet SB | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed OlyBet SB | 42c | 53.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed OlyBet SB | 40c | 49.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed OlyBet SB | 40c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed OlyBet SB | 43c | 33.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed OlyBet SB | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b0…f521backed OlyBet SB | 45c | 23.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Misa Esports | 59c | 17.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…1d15backed Misa Esports | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs OlyBet SB (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group DMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs OlyBet SB - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs OlyBet SB - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.