Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb612c18fbb972658fcd22afa5e11153ed63201a4bdfa1669dfa158575b93b6ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, KRÜ Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed KRÜ Esports | 34c | 35,292$12,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,018.71 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -42%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 33,374$22,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,347.36 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked 100 Thieves | 73c | 3,768$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.84 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +6.4wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 2,119$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.38 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 1,830$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.5 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 1,589$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.18 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed KRÜ Esports | 30c | 1,002$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.6 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked KRÜ Esports | 3c | 963.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed KRÜ Esports | 33c | 845.76$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.1 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…0038backed KRÜ Esports | 14c | 715$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed KRÜ Esports | 36c | 696.75$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.83 | 176 | 40.3%71 W · 105 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…e611backed KRÜ Esports | 33c | 613.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked KRÜ Esports | 18c | 600$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 496.75$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.83 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed KRÜ Esports | 30c | 478.82$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.65 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed KRÜ Esports | 35c | 469.41$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.29 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 383.03$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.25 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked KRÜ Esports | 30c | 365$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KRÜ Esports | 31c | 332.68$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked KRÜ Esports | 30c | 311.4$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked KRÜ Esports | 27c | 304$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KRÜ Esports | 28c | 276.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked KRÜ Esports | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…de4abacked KRÜ Esports | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed KRÜ Esports | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed KRÜ Esports | 32c | 178.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked KRÜ Esports | 24c | 146.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked KRÜ Esports | 32c | 143.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed KRÜ Esports | 31c | 136.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a12…a9a7backed KRÜ Esports | 32c | 127$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 125$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed KRÜ Esports | 28c | 115.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed KRÜ Esports | 31c | 97.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed KRÜ Esports | 34c | 93.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 82.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed 100 Thieves | 78c | 72.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 72.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KRÜ Esports | 23c | 65.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6b…b949backed KRÜ Esports | 37c | 45.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed KRÜ Esports | 32c | 44.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed 100 Thieves | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 22.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)KRÜ Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.