Valorant · resolved market

Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57d35ce4c0b8bae043cf7d54cb6830e27dd1f039444bb15242930412f91468cd

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, KRÜ Esports
Resolved: Jul 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $20,091
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $20,226

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,091 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8c0b…7aa5backed KRÜ Esports	55c	11,111$6,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,111.02	129	51.2%66 W · 63 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked 100 Thieves	45c	8,825$3,971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,853.94	37	67.6%25 W · 12 L	+6.1wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked 100 Thieves	59c	2,807$1,653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,154	29	82.8%24 W · 5 L	+6.4wins	+0.22per pick	61cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xae3f…defebacked 100 Thieves	45c	2,172$977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,194.49	31	74.2%23 W · 8 L	+4.9wins	+0.16per pick	58cpaid	+34%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed 100 Thieves	41c	2,000$820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,180	186	41.4%77 W · 109 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked KRÜ Esports	41c	1,089$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.5	655	59.4%389 W · 266 L	+50.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed KRÜ Esports	41c	802.43$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325	565	51.2%289 W · 276 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed KRÜ Esports	59c	741.02$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.2	639	55.6%355 W · 284 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed KRÜ Esports	57c	619.12$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.9	339	42.2%143 W · 196 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb11…7901backed KRÜ Esports	59c	500$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd92c…dd9abacked KRÜ Esports	40c	497.5$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed KRÜ Esports	54c	438.95$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.03	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	-9.2wins	-0.17per pick	47cpaid	-42%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked KRÜ Esports	58c	435.88$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.81	1,417	51.3%727 W · 690 L	+49.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x069a…7c82backed 100 Thieves	46c	434.78$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.78	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed KRÜ Esports	57c	326.73$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.44	634	47.9%304 W · 330 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb141…aa3bbacked KRÜ Esports	59c	306.7$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.95	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed 100 Thieves	43c	267.44$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.44	149	41.6%62 W · 87 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cc2…d305backed 100 Thieves	43c	229.99$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.09	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed KRÜ Esports	57c	229.99$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.09	201	60.2%121 W · 80 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked 100 Thieves	44c	218.11$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.14	867	47.5%412 W · 455 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed 100 Thieves	43c	186.05$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.05	238	47.9%114 W · 124 L	+14.8wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked KRÜ Esports	56c	178.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.11	163	47.2%77 W · 86 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked KRÜ Esports	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked 100 Thieves	42c	175.71$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.91	366	48.4%177 W · 189 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked 100 Thieves	41c	167.98$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.11	264	50%132 W · 132 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed KRÜ Esports	55c	157.7$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.74	517	49.5%256 W · 261 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed1c…494dbacked 100 Thieves	45c	151.11$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.11	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked KRÜ Esports	57c	139.99$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.1	164	51.8%85 W · 79 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed 100 Thieves	43c	132.81$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.7	176	40.3%71 W · 105 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked KRÜ Esports	60c	126.05$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.63	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+3.5wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed 100 Thieves	74c	125.41$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.29	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed KRÜ Esports	42c	117.8$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.65	282	41.1%116 W · 166 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked KRÜ Esports	42c	107.14$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	155	35.5%55 W · 100 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x558d…180ebacked KRÜ Esports	59c	103.39$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked KRÜ Esports	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	344	43.3%149 W · 195 L	-14.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked KRÜ Esports	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	106	33%35 W · 71 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed KRÜ Esports	42c	97.62$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	112	37.5%42 W · 70 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed KRÜ Esports	41c	97.56$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	139	33.1%46 W · 93 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed KRÜ Esports	60c	96.41$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.5	237	45.1%107 W · 130 L	-12.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked KRÜ Esports	60c	96.41$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.5	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9803…0242backed 100 Thieves	45c	90.78$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.93	131	58%76 W · 55 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14b7…aab1backed KRÜ Esports	55c	90.6$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.15	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed 100 Thieves	45c	84.44$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.44	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cef…dbcbbacked 100 Thieves	43c	69.77$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.77	203	47.3%96 W · 107 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed 100 Thieves	58c	66.89$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.82	70	52.9%37 W · 33 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8b6…d353backed 100 Thieves	43c	60$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.2	251	46.6%117 W · 134 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed KRÜ Esports	58c	59.92$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.75	666	50.8%338 W · 328 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked 100 Thieves	45c	55.56$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.56	168	39.3%66 W · 102 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed KRÜ Esports	59c	43$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.37	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed KRÜ Esports	48c	37.9$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.03	492	55.3%272 W · 220 L	+23.7wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8349…55d7backed 100 Thieves	45c	33.33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.33	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+3.1wins	+0.24per pick	38cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked KRÜ Esports	58c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	251	41.4%104 W · 147 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed 100 Thieves	64c	29.91$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	391	66%258 W · 133 L	+24.0wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked KRÜ Esports	43c	29.06$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.53	407	31.7%129 W · 278 L	-13.1wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed 100 Thieves	45c	23$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.65	438	43.6%191 W · 247 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0aa…7a60backed KRÜ Esports	62c	20.08$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.45	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+20%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)this page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)100 Thieves won
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)100 Thieves won
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)KRÜ Esports won
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega100 Thieves won
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event