Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f84ac7272cbd5f095368d83a7c109b378af9957d248e7ca71fd1d46b0e5f3da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef32…265cbacked No | 65c | 5,703$3,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,684.91 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 21c | 2,050$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.23 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 26c | 1,909$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.96 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf65…d214backed No | 58c | 1,586$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,352$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.8 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,116$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.65 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 17c | 1,054$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.25 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 16c | 953.87$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.14 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 19c | 942.07$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.47 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 54c | 784.72$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.26 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 64c | 638$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.68 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…3adfbacked Yes | 20c | 587.86$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.29 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 80c | 533.79$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.05 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 20c | 479.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.87 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 78c | 445$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.93 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 36c | 416.49$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.07 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 60c | 381.26$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.86 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 28c | 364.27$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.66 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 42c | 342.63$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.49 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 23c | 333.2$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.57 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 40c | 318.61$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.85 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 73c | 308.71$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 8c | 278.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.86 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 7c | 267.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.93 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 76c | 255$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.94 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 49c | 245.93$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.89 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 20c | 245.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.81 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked Yes | 6c | 216.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.09 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Yes | 49c | 212.14$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb7…e027backed Yes | 17c | 202.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 19c | 201.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.98 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbab9…e027backed Yes | 27c | 200$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…9d10backed Yes | 21c | 200$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 12c | 187.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.03 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 39c | 185.87$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 67c | 177.25$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.09 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 57c | 168.2$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 78c | 164.47$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.78 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 15c | 156$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.08 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 62c | 153.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 19c | 150.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.12 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…b087backed Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 162 | 20.4%33 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cc…95bebacked Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 87 | 17.2%15 W · 72 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…3e99backed Yes | 17c | 150$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 16c | 149.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.24 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 63c | 146.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.83 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 75c | 141.29$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 22c | 139.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 53c | 138.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 25c | 135$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 29c | 134.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.83 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 22c | 125$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.37 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 27c | 123.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.47 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…9c82backed Yes | 25c | 120.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 48c | 119.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9110…c879backed Yes | 29c | 118.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.88 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 68c | 115$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…2ca4backed Yes | 22c | 114.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 208 | 33.2%69 W · 139 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 22c | 113.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 35c | 112.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316e…06c9backed Yes | 28c | 110.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd984…59c8backed Yes | 23c | 107.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd8…1a9bbacked Yes | 32c | 107.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 36c | 106.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc04…f007backed Yes | 48c | 103.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…7508backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…7b89backed No | 62c | 97.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 23c | 94.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 49c | 92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 59c | 90.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 21c | 90$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 18c | 89.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…aab7backed Yes | 21c | 79.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 38c | 76.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418a…64c0backed No | 62c | 76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 22c | 75.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x376c…41acbacked Yes | 27c | 74.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 21c | 73.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d2…dd0fbacked Yes | 21c | 72.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ba…1deabacked Yes | 56c | 72.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 37c | 69.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1d16backed Yes | 33c | 67.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 19c | 67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 548 | 53.1%291 W · 257 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x361c…99d4backed No | 78c | 64.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 20c | 63.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 24c | 61.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 33c | 60.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 30c | 60.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 58c | 55.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 45c | 55.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 445 | 36.6%163 W · 282 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…4330backed Yes | 27c | 55.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 20c | 54.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 42°C or higher on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.