Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b3add15294f23b1171f33fa5ca6c2541c0280d3e1d75b7ba6c95f737f7e8fdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $302,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 203,608$55,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,587.45 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 129,086$93,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,192.79 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 14,644$10,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,393.34 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 9,316$6,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.94 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 7,522$5,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.39 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 5,197$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.84 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 4,893$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.52 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 4,500$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 4,002$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.26 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 3,461$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.68 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 3,424$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.07 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 3,264$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.73 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 2,528$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.34 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 2,351$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.74 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 2,286$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.72 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 2,035$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.9 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 2,016$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.67 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 1,949$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.65 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,929$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.8 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,820$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.39 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 1,765$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.34 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,650$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.46 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 1,535$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.58 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,410$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.7 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,312$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.97 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 1,162$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.48 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 1,155$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.66 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Nigma Galaxy | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 999.8$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.93 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 878.46$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.1 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 807.64$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.32 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 786.46$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.08 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Nigma Galaxy | 4c | 749.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 731.4$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.67 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 699.53$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.65 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 685.15$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.64 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 660.21$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.65 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 649.78$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.44 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 619.46$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.39 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 600$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ed…7103backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 567.31$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.86 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 546.68$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 505.53$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.95 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 488.65$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.74 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 459.83$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 445.73$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.61 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 395.05$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.91 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 391.11$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 390.42$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.17 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 385.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 378.62$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.4 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 372.75$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.19 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 364.88$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 354.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.9 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 350$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 343.69$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.86 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 308.58$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.35 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…f432backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 305.77$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.19 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd459…4757backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 296.09$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.51 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 284.3$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 278.43$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.85 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 275.66$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.91 | 300 | 41.3%124 W · 176 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 266.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 262.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 199.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 194.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 192.92$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 174.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 163.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x250b…861fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 154.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 143.13$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 140.03$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 138.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…98ecbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 136.09$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 127.91$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 117$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 106.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 105.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…b30bbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 102.08$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 101.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 100.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 100.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4898…a723backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 98.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 96.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 95.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 95.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 93.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 91.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 86.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.