Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadde0003dd6f2a853e38f498bc492a5f1f3546d1a3417bf0fc22f38a5eb4f732
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 17,945$9,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,363.04 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 9,451$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750.92 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 5,723$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.19 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 3,188$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.46 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 2,993$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.61 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 2,800$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 2,565$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.94 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 2,366$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.78 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 2,246$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.55 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 2,190$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.6 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 2,085$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.84 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.75 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 1,880$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.98 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,818$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.4 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 1,806$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.78 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 11c | 1,747$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.36 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 1,574$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.75 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,009$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.32 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 988.64$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.44 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 921.53$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.17 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 910.54$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.18 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 893.81$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.49 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 863.8$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.54 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Nigma Galaxy | 5c | 848.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 820.16$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.39 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 818.32$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.28 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 691.79$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.56 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 563.69$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.72 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 563.28$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.14 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd459…4757backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 561$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.67 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 560.98$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.35 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 557.85$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.22 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 545.23$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.82 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 540.64$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 535.94$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.27 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 512.5$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.92 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 496.52$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 454.66$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.52 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 413.39$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.85 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 411.46$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.71 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 399.4$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.69 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 398.75$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.8 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 374.15$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 345.27$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 336.13$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.56 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 327.68$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.9 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 317.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 269.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 253.77$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.76 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 219$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Nigma Galaxy | 11c | 198.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 196.76$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 193.62$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 193.27$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 188.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 178.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 171.91$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 300 | 41.3%124 W · 176 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 166.39$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 148.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 142.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 127.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 108.77$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…10c8backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 108.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 101.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 97.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 96.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 95.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 91.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 84.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 83.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…0fc5backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 64.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 57.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 54.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 51.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 46.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 44.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 42.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 40.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbe…0b07backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 37.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…12a9backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 36.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 117 | 39.3%46 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3e…1316backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 31.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8a…4e10backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 30.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 26.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 22.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.