South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-03-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62185982b194009d128ff8852ea0565f76f788d7b22f428e7859506f02c79b9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,228 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 14c | 5,673$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,877.02 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 45c | 5,023$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.4 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 25c | 2,900$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 2,458$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.69 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 2,448$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 15c | 997.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.18 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 13c | 992.68$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.93 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 38c | 988.25$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.86 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4868…c8d1backed Yes | 13c | 713.05$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.35 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…4e85backed No | 13c | 552.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 36c | 409.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 403.74$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.66 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 62c | 384.11$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.24 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 16c | 361$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.7 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1e…4086backed Yes | 14c | 352.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 76c | 333.17$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.74 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 46c | 328.74$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.35 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 32c | 313.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…66b3backed Yes | 14c | 294.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.97 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b19…c271backed Yes | 18c | 274.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 57c | 273.25$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 51c | 242.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.72 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 57c | 229.11$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…54d2backed Yes | 14c | 222.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 52c | 218.94$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.47 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 64c | 211.71$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…16b6backed Yes | 18c | 206.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 17c | 197.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.8 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed No | 30c | 191.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Yes | 15c | 186.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.46 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 47c | 178.9$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…77bfbacked No | 33c | 176.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked No | 33c | 152.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 61c | 116.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed No | 52c | 109.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…3db9backed Yes | 14c | 104.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9789…ea3fbacked Yes | 16c | 96.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 43c | 79.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 56c | 71.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 62c | 63.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 32c | 46.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 50c | 45.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed No | 57c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked No | 59c | 31.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 67c | 30.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 48c | 29.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8a…e451backed Yes | 70c | 27.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed No | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…8080backed No | 54c | 23.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…e5bebacked No | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-03-11?this page
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.