TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverev

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alexander Zverevof Quentin Halys, Alexander Zverev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$523,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $523,233 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x88d1…18dabacked Quentin Halys8c49,999$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.9127460.2%165 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Quentin Halys12c32,771$3,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,932.461,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Quentin Halys8c32,041$2,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,527.68,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Quentin Halys11c28,476$3,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,240.582,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Quentin Halys10c19,916$2,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.331,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92a…99acbacked Quentin Halys13c19,795$2,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,573.44930.6%15 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Quentin Halys13c18,378$2,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,335.247,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Quentin Halys10c11,002$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.186541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Quentin Halys19c10,007$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,870.016550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdba8…9accbacked Quentin Halys13c9,079$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.254117.1%7 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21af…f272backed Quentin Halys14c9,032$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3008353%44 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Quentin Halys14c7,682$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.6111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Quentin Halys17c7,059$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20015826.6%42 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Alexander Zverev80c6,938$5,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.676,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Alexander Zverev79c5,579$4,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.311,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d58…1aeabacked Quentin Halys14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7008031.3%25 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43f0…4d78backed Quentin Halys6c4,585$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.9130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Quentin Halys14c3,697$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.31,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Quentin Halys14c3,565$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.0828828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Quentin Halys13c3,300$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.9812322%27 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Quentin Halys12c2,648$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.952,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e79…54d2backed Quentin Halys18c2,101$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.183122.6%7 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8374…4015backed Quentin Halys15c2,063$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Quentin Halys11c1,700$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.3132031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Quentin Halys19c1,650$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.6875748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe548…a51abacked Quentin Halys17c1,589$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.684129.3%12 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Quentin Halys10c1,489$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.291,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a3…f319backed Quentin Halys15c1,442$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.856240.3%25 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Quentin Halys13c1,438$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.3345343.9%199 W · 254 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Quentin Halys18c1,407$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.3637342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ae…c975backed Quentin Halys15c1,190$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17521537.2%80 W · 135 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed Quentin Halys20c1,100$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.638344.6%37 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Quentin Halys14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Quentin Halys13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed Quentin Halys23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2302766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed Quentin Halys5c999.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Quentin Halys21c917.15$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.3724350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Quentin Halys20c822.54$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.324438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f3…18d6backed Quentin Halys20c816.38$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.91977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Quentin Halys13c790.23$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.321,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Quentin Halys13c752.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.931,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Quentin Halys7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028322.3%63 W · 220 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Quentin Halys14c707.14$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+66.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Quentin Halys13c690$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.551,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Quentin Halys15c671.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042743.8%187 W · 240 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Quentin Halys17c598.7$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.815252.6%80 W · 72 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc679…e427backed Quentin Halys9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Quentin Halys13c543$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5948440.3%195 W · 289 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8781…bc3cbacked Quentin Halys8c532.59$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.611233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Quentin Halys14c518$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.521,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Quentin Halys7c514.93$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.742,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Quentin Halys20c505.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked Quentin Halys13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Quentin Halys16c447.23$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.814,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Quentin Halys21c428.57$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9081933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Quentin Halys12c423.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.226,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Quentin Halys24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006214.5%9 W · 53 L-11.2wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-62.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb703…d9b7backed Quentin Halys17c405.88$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Quentin Halys14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011046.4%51 W · 59 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Quentin Halys12c355$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6511927.7%33 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Quentin Halys23c350$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.041,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Quentin Halys9c336$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2458021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Quentin Halys23c324.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.574,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Quentin Halys18c312$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5735730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Quentin Halys5c299.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.14599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Quentin Halys13c299.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.411,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Quentin Halys22c290.27$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5315147.7%72 W · 79 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Quentin Halys22c290.27$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.535048%24 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f15…376dbacked Quentin Halys21c289.14$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.72714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd91…3d37backed Quentin Halys14c285.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-54.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Quentin Halys17c278.68$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3848652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de4…67a8backed Quentin Halys22c278.18$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.22544%11 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea8…077dbacked Quentin Halys22c278.18$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.28148.1%39 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked Quentin Halys22c278.18$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.25749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Quentin Halys5c267.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.398740.2%35 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Quentin Halys12c244.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeba…9ff9backed Quentin Halys10c232$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.22152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Quentin Halys14c216.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5e…13bebacked Quentin Halys14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-38.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Quentin Halys9c213.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4585742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Quentin Halys19c211.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.027,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff41…387abacked Quentin Halys10c210$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Quentin Halys17c209.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4934950.4%176 W · 173 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b7f…7e25backed Quentin Halys22c208.64$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.92128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Quentin Halys6c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11575.3%3 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Quentin Halys14c200$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2730844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…84e4backed Quentin Halys10c200$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21387.9%3 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Quentin Halys22c199.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4360943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Alexander Zverev78c192.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.314161%25 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa060…0747backed Alexander Zverev78c185.81$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.338247.6%39 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3513…b52fbacked Quentin Halys6c182.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.97140%0 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Quentin Halys22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036040%144 W · 216 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c45…cf06backed Quentin Halys14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd126…b4a7backed Quentin Halys17c172.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302536%9 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Quentin Halys13c167.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8376140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Quentin Halys14c154$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.568650%43 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Quentin Halys17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513955.4%77 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked Quentin Halys22c142.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.331435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f65…c1d0backed Quentin Halys14c141$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7430349.8%151 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Quentin Halys22c139.09$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.611452.6%60 W · 54 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.