Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Halys (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf010547d631ac95dacd92c9eb9de3bdae55e620db7b43964e027137f550e014e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Zverev, Halys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,003 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Zverev | 65c | 4,343$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.74 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Halys | 36c | 1,607$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.33 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…f272backed Halys | 40c | 1,248$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…ebe6backed Halys | 37c | 1,030$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.29 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Halys | 37c | 809.32$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.75 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Zverev | 64c | 716.67$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.39 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Halys | 32c | 516.93$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.94 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | -11.2wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Halys | 34c | 470.58$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.89 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Zverev | 63c | 416.99$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.89 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Zverev | 60c | 335.53$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.59 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79f…5729backed Halys | 34c | 331.66$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Zverev | 56c | 316.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.18 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Zverev | 53c | 306.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.29 | 415 | 44.3%184 W · 231 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…5a49backed Zverev | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Halys | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Halys | 35c | 264.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Zverev | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Zverev | 56c | 209.89$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.89 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Zverev | 62c | 161.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Zverev | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Zverev | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Halys | 34c | 111.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked Halys | 34c | 111.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Halys | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x149f…d306backed Zverev | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Halys | 30c | 87.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Halys | 37c | 78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Zverev | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Halys | 36c | 73.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Halys | 17c | 61.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Zverev | 57c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Halys | 37c | 59.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed Zverev | 66c | 54.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 212 | 57.5%122 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…f319backed Halys | 43c | 52.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Halys | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1448backed Halys | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…9397backed Zverev | 79c | 34.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…bd20backed Zverev | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…1b31backed Zverev | 66c | 30.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Zverev | 66c | 26.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 572 | 67.3%385 W · 187 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Halys (+1.5)this page
- Halys vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Halys vs. Zverev: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Halys vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Open: Quentin Halys vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
- Quentin Halys vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Halys vs ZverevZverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.