Tennis · resolved market
Halys vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51e1d4d9eb9a921a5f6b92dc3f3247b5eddb883f50e195a30f06620fd898d58f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,302 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 12c | 3,064$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.68 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0b…5662backed Under | 12c | 2,298$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…773abacked Under | 12c | 1,156$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 13c | 1,151$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.59 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…8c5ebacked Under | 13c | 1,062$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 12c | 893.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 14c | 535.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d1…1de7backed Under | 12c | 445$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Under | 17c | 172.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 415 | 44.3%184 W · 231 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Under | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Under | 13c | 83.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Halys vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5this page
- Halys vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Halys vs. Zverev: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Miami Open: Quentin Halys vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
- Quentin Halys vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Halys vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Halys (+1.5)Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.