Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Joao Fonseca

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6da0c9a4c4ebd08ccf66093a546311d34adb575bb843734fc3aa4014799856d

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Carlos Alcarazof Carlos Alcaraz, Joao Fonseca
Resolved: Mar 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $503,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $503,350 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1574…64c9backed Joao Fonseca	1c	62,631$881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$881.25	476	39.1%186 W · 290 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Joao Fonseca	8c	38,109$3,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,134.7	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Joao Fonseca	7c	30,168$2,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,085.75	2,865	44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x740c…d013backed Joao Fonseca	3c	14,201$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Joao Fonseca	6c	13,218$766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$766.44	809	38.8%314 W · 495 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x713b…ee60backed Joao Fonseca	14c	13,143$1,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,840	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Joao Fonseca	3c	10,305$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.11	1,206	8%96 W · 1,110 L	+17.2wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+80.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Joao Fonseca	14c	8,496$1,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,189.51	453	43.9%199 W · 254 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Joao Fonseca	11c	8,486$912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$912.17	1,410	38.4%542 W · 868 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Joao Fonseca	11c	7,427$852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$851.84	142	43%61 W · 81 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Joao Fonseca	14c	7,143$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	407	48.9%199 W · 208 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Joao Fonseca	13c	6,386$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$842.82	1,265	29.2%370 W · 895 L	-13.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Joao Fonseca	13c	5,720$768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$768.48	237	31.6%75 W · 162 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Joao Fonseca	5c	5,306$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289	158	26.6%42 W · 116 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Joao Fonseca	6c	5,215$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.52	287	24.4%70 W · 217 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Joao Fonseca	14c	5,075$703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$702.8	1,809	43.8%793 W · 1,016 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Joao Fonseca	15c	4,050$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.49	87	21.8%19 W · 68 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb62f…6836backed Joao Fonseca	1c	3,602$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.43	85	30.6%26 W · 59 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Joao Fonseca	1c	3,439$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.35	255	0.8%2 W · 253 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Joao Fonseca	6c	2,781$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.6	229	49.8%114 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Joao Fonseca	14c	2,602$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.23	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+16%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7037…2bbabacked Joao Fonseca	14c	2,540$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.59	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Joao Fonseca	3c	2,390$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.48	656	47.6%312 W · 344 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Joao Fonseca	11c	2,305$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.7	83	37.3%31 W · 52 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Joao Fonseca	6c	2,242$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.33	11,435	43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L	+17.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa883…32bebacked Joao Fonseca	13c	2,040$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.26	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.24per pick	36cpaid	+72.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Joao Fonseca	14c	1,880$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257	244	38.9%95 W · 149 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Joao Fonseca	14c	1,854$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.56	1,028	33.6%345 W · 683 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Joao Fonseca	10c	1,788$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.44	242	29.8%72 W · 170 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Joao Fonseca	12c	1,748$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.2	3,871	35%1,353 W · 2,518 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Joao Fonseca	5c	1,616$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	908	54.5%495 W · 413 L	+21.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Joao Fonseca	8c	1,592$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.3	2,982	39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37ad…bc55backed Joao Fonseca	7c	1,571$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Joao Fonseca	13c	1,564$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.68	203	36%73 W · 130 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Joao Fonseca	15c	1,561$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.12	207	58%120 W · 87 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Joao Fonseca	16c	1,504$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.64	149	54.4%81 W · 68 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Joao Fonseca	1c	1,493$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.69	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x136c…6b91backed Joao Fonseca	15c	1,322$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.35	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	27cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Joao Fonseca	2c	1,207$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	226	34.5%78 W · 148 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Joao Fonseca	14c	1,149$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.9	1,658	49.9%828 W · 830 L	+7.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x154e…7a37backed Joao Fonseca	13c	1,100$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc679…e427backed Joao Fonseca	14c	1,040$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Joao Fonseca	15c	1,001$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.14	91	34.1%31 W · 60 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed Joao Fonseca	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	103	41.7%43 W · 60 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Joao Fonseca	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	724	52.6%381 W · 343 L	+34.5wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fe4…dd93backed Joao Fonseca	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-59%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Joao Fonseca	12c	974.3$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.25	507	31.2%158 W · 349 L	-41.2wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed Joao Fonseca	14c	916.29$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.09	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ac…5ea3backed Joao Fonseca	7c	905.88$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.65	40	30%12 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e79…54d2backed Joao Fonseca	15c	894.97$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.61	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b42…ae63backed Joao Fonseca	16c	833.88$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.42	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Joao Fonseca	14c	757$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.08	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe225…6d19backed Joao Fonseca	7c	747.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.52	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Joao Fonseca	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	79	43%34 W · 45 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224e…f7ddbacked Joao Fonseca	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	51.7%46 W · 43 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Joao Fonseca	12c	644$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.28	1,284	39.2%503 W · 781 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Joao Fonseca	13c	642.12$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.48	76	35.5%27 W · 49 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Joao Fonseca	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	76	18.4%14 W · 62 L	-8.9wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Joao Fonseca	14c	606.28$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.82	4,288	40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L	-139.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Joao Fonseca	13c	562.36$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.86	1,882	35.5%669 W · 1,213 L	+26.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0129…e3c9backed Joao Fonseca	18c	539.71$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.15	92	42.4%39 W · 53 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Joao Fonseca	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	668	31.3%209 W · 459 L	-15.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Joao Fonseca	14c	495$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.3	1,421	28.6%407 W · 1,014 L	+4.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Joao Fonseca	12c	476.91$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.23	761	40.6%309 W · 452 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f25…442cbacked Joao Fonseca	3c	466.22$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	59	28.8%17 W · 42 L	-6.1wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd65c…502fbacked Joao Fonseca	3c	444.83$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-73.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Joao Fonseca	14c	442.31$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	350	40.9%143 W · 207 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0d4…a659backed Joao Fonseca	14c	425.57$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa71c…e905backed Joao Fonseca	15c	416.72$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.42	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Joao Fonseca	4c	400$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	459	9.6%44 W · 415 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd30…c3a0backed Joao Fonseca	13c	385$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.05	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x009d…8d19backed Joao Fonseca	13c	381$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.53	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25a…e594backed Joao Fonseca	14c	358$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.12	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…d09bbacked Joao Fonseca	7c	357.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-4.0wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Joao Fonseca	16c	326.5$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.31	1,504	35.1%528 W · 976 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Joao Fonseca	15c	320$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	725	42.6%309 W · 416 L	-20.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7c…23c8backed Joao Fonseca	13c	306.8$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.97	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Joao Fonseca	10c	297.49$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.2	903	35.8%323 W · 580 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Joao Fonseca	13c	295$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	269	41.3%111 W · 158 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Joao Fonseca	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	484	40.3%195 W · 289 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…a140backed Joao Fonseca	15c	292.13$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.82	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-3.8wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Joao Fonseca	13c	287$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	347	44.4%154 W · 193 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d9…a600backed Joao Fonseca	14c	272.77$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.19	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Joao Fonseca	16c	266$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.56	283	22.3%63 W · 220 L	-13.3wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Joao Fonseca	13c	262$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.64	970	46.6%452 W · 518 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaeb…ea1dbacked Joao Fonseca	16c	248.63$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.78	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Joao Fonseca	13c	239.36$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.1	1,245	33.9%422 W · 823 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05b4…9152backed Joao Fonseca	13c	230.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	61	70.5%43 W · 18 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	66cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd8…39b1backed Joao Fonseca	17c	205.26$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	182	48.9%89 W · 93 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Joao Fonseca	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	86	43%37 W · 49 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bd2…9b3cbacked Joao Fonseca	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9edc…b088backed Joao Fonseca	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	284	24.3%69 W · 215 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ca…d46cbacked Joao Fonseca	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.33per pick	17cpaid	+231.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Joao Fonseca	12c	196.48$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.58	868	35.4%307 W · 561 L	+22.9wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Joao Fonseca	12c	191.8$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.02	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebd1…1e86backed Joao Fonseca	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	69	23.2%16 W · 53 L	-8.4wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6f4f…4d73backed Joao Fonseca	14c	178.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.95	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Joao Fonseca	13c	160.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.69	2,462	38.5%948 W · 1,514 L	+93.1wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef59…41f6backed Joao Fonseca	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc932…e6a5backed Joao Fonseca	15c	135.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Joao Fonsecathis page
Alcaraz vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Alcaraz vs. Fonseca: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs FonsecaAlcaraz won
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Fonseca (+1.5)Alcaraz won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Joao Fonseca

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event