TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc9ac…5ea3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT4030%12 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Ben Shelton vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.95
Miami Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Ugo Humbertbacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.48
Asuncion: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Lautaro Midonbacked Gianluca Cadenasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+41%+$4.98
Miami Open: Adam Walton vs Jakub Mensikbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.87
Miami Open: Alexandra Eala vs Magda Linettebacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.41
Miami Open: Alex Michelsen vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.12
Miami Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+179.7%+$69.1
Miami Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Madison Keysbacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.21
Miami Open: Zizou Bergs vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.28
Miami Open: Rei Sakamoto vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.6
Miami Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.11
Miami Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+143.6%+$19.99
Miami Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Learner Tienbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$27.61
Miami Open: Iva Jovic vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Miami Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Oksana Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
Murcia: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.74
Murcia: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+220.5%+$43.67
Zadar: Matej Dodig vs Stefano Travagliabacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.03
Miami Open: Luciano Darderi vs Martin Landalucebacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Miami Open: Peyton Stearns vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
Miami Open: Moise Kouame vs Jiri Leheckabacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.85
Miami Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.87
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.65
Miami Open: Taylor Townsend vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$18.42
Kraken vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$22.8
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.22
Kraken vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$23.54
Jets vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
All 5 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.79
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$52.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.