TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open: Rei Sakamoto vs Daniil Medvedev

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Daniil Medvedevof Rei Sakamoto, Daniil Medvedev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$528,680

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $528,680 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0457…4403backed Rei Sakamoto31c34,156$10,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,559.516829.4%20 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9750…263dbacked Daniil Medvedev65c22,934$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,934.361747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rei Sakamoto8c15,186$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.152,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x601a…a675backed Rei Sakamoto18c13,995$2,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,451.852657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rei Sakamoto29c13,593$3,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,901.917,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Daniil Medvedev68c11,651$7,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,700.4294355.7%525 W · 418 L+22.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Daniil Medvedev66c11,638$7,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,921.851,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rei Sakamoto23c9,509$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,213.142,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64de…25a1backed Rei Sakamoto15c8,631$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.672941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Rei Sakamoto35c8,610$3,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,027.7558139.9%232 W · 349 L+0.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Rei Sakamoto0c7,320$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.982,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rei Sakamoto28c6,568$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,825.2811,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Daniil Medvedev68c6,455$4,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.8911852.5%62 W · 56 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Daniil Medvedev66c6,000$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18e1…5916backed Daniil Medvedev63c4,873$3,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.8613251.5%68 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Daniil Medvedev80c4,723$3,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.833,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rei Sakamoto34c4,679$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.26,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Daniil Medvedev72c4,427$3,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.0146473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cd5…8afbbacked Daniil Medvedev69c4,400$3,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.992429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Daniil Medvedev79c4,077$3,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.2220155.7%112 W · 89 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Rei Sakamoto33c3,943$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30060753.7%326 W · 281 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Rei Sakamoto13c3,849$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.4219835.4%70 W · 128 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Rei Sakamoto32c3,406$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.126331.7%20 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Rei Sakamoto8c3,116$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.2610650%53 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Rei Sakamoto14c2,229$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728724.4%70 W · 217 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Rei Sakamoto10c2,214$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.7638931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Daniil Medvedev76c2,118$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.141,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…e574backed Daniil Medvedev67c2,080$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.797252.8%38 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Rei Sakamoto32c1,999$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.6929854%161 W · 137 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rei Sakamoto33c1,841$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.426,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Rei Sakamoto26c1,722$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.1450731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rei Sakamoto10c1,604$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.121,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Daniil Medvedev75c1,600$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ac…5ea3backed Rei Sakamoto4c1,453$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.64030%12 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Rei Sakamoto19c1,246$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2345660.7%34 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Daniil Medvedev69c1,198$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.389,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f10…c927backed Daniil Medvedev74c1,126$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.710543.8%46 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Rei Sakamoto12c1,029$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4724844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked Rei Sakamoto25c1,028$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.959551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Rei Sakamoto27c1,022$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.719450%47 W · 47 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Daniil Medvedev69c1,014$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.491,03050%515 W · 515 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed Rei Sakamoto10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60bd…2469backed Rei Sakamoto1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10150%0 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Daniil Medvedev66c982.51$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.241,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rei Sakamoto33c888.16$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.097,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Daniil Medvedev78c888$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.9245457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Rei Sakamoto34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30081933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Daniil Medvedev70c857.14$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1426847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Daniil Medvedev78c829.23$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.4544038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Rei Sakamoto9c823$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.071,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Daniil Medvedev75c816.55$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.513260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Daniil Medvedev62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.454829.2%14 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Daniil Medvedev66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5846553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Rei Sakamoto8c718.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5256757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa661…af49backed Daniil Medvedev68c710$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.211248.2%54 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Rei Sakamoto7c704.95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3512322%27 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Rei Sakamoto23c671.7$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.494,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Rei Sakamoto15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Rei Sakamoto31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,57939.8%629 W · 950 L-34.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rei Sakamoto20c639.39$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.028,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Rei Sakamoto32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015548.4%75 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Rei Sakamoto9c600$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541,43728.5%409 W · 1,028 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Daniil Medvedev66c516.7$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6865157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Rei Sakamoto16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8070752.8%373 W · 334 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Daniil Medvedev64c500$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18258438.2%223 W · 361 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb3…6bfebacked Rei Sakamoto8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+53.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a4b…002bbacked Rei Sakamoto36c496.24$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+47%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Rei Sakamoto26c495$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2434744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Daniil Medvedev69c459.31$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.311,18762.8%746 W · 441 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e8…b293backed Rei Sakamoto9c449.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020337.9%77 W · 126 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Daniil Medvedev73c412.94$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9419744.2%87 W · 110 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Daniil Medvedev67c402.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9919637.2%73 W · 123 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed Daniil Medvedev80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756256.5%35 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Rei Sakamoto11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Rei Sakamoto23c350$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0125743.6%112 W · 145 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Daniil Medvedev70c342.84$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.761,92655.4%1,067 W · 859 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Rei Sakamoto30c334.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3423735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4209…7582backed Daniil Medvedev69c318.84$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.843158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed02…85f7backed Rei Sakamoto32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011937.8%45 W · 74 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x998c…6f97backed Rei Sakamoto32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007345.2%33 W · 40 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid0%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Rei Sakamoto14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4250364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28b7…c41cbacked Daniil Medvedev70c283.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.728961.8%55 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Daniil Medvedev65c278.78$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7827346.5%127 W · 146 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Daniil Medvedev73c274.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9723554.5%128 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Rei Sakamoto37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Rei Sakamoto9c268.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1528541.1%117 W · 168 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Rei Sakamoto23c260.51$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.216,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Daniil Medvedev66c254.15$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6748453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b92…b96bbacked Rei Sakamoto16c253.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404645.7%21 W · 25 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+41.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Rei Sakamoto36c252.78$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9164637.2%240 W · 406 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Daniil Medvedev70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7514850%74 W · 74 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Rei Sakamoto7c249.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52516%4 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a5c…d123backed Rei Sakamoto34c248.54$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.068974.2%66 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46ff…6672backed Rei Sakamoto9c244.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2215512.9%20 W · 135 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Rei Sakamoto25c244$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4297046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Daniil Medvedev72c243.77$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.054,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7afb…e28dbacked Rei Sakamoto19c238.8$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.171030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Rei Sakamoto9c224.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.22,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Daniil Medvedev69c223.37$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2466139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Daniil Medvedev79c204.74$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.21,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.