TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Madison Keys

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Madison Keysof Gabriela Ruse, Madison Keys
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,323

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,323 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd7a7…2537backed Madison Keys70c13,177$9,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,953.64366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Gabriela Ruse8c10,666$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.582,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Gabriela Ruse12c9,684$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.632,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Gabriela Ruse30c6,921$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.331332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Gabriela Ruse7c4,386$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.6166139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Madison Keys69c3,872$2,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.4366949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Gabriela Ruse30c2,905$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.3178536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Gabriela Ruse11c2,886$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.237,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Gabriela Ruse13c2,134$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.251,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Gabriela Ruse16c1,951$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.112,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gabriela Ruse30c1,947$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.281,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Gabriela Ruse8c1,648$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6380938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Gabriela Ruse30c1,442$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.550731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Gabriela Ruse3c1,440$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.851,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Gabriela Ruse30c1,315$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.6946932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Gabriela Ruse31c1,115$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.4348552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Gabriela Ruse30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c32…d322backed Madison Keys78c886.5$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0312066.7%80 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Gabriela Ruse28c763.77$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.854,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Gabriela Ruse9c700$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.558021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Gabriela Ruse31c664.65$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.922,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Gabriela Ruse9c644.52$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6066452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Madison Keys69c539.13$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.1335268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf3…3bf8backed Gabriela Ruse6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306930.4%21 W · 48 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Gabriela Ruse31c483.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Gabriela Ruse32c431.93$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13936038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ac…5ea3backed Gabriela Ruse7c427.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.214030%12 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Gabriela Ruse30c417$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.17,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Gabriela Ruse14c416.78$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.876,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Gabriela Ruse30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12046649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f95…b08bbacked Gabriela Ruse27c366.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5411045.5%50 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Madison Keys69c356$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3670465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Gabriela Ruse30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033055.8%184 W · 146 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked Gabriela Ruse25c323.66$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.184654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Gabriela Ruse5c300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.34599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Gabriela Ruse29c293.42$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.877,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Madison Keys69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8624747.4%117 W · 130 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8924…3b00backed Madison Keys69c289.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.834369.8%30 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Gabriela Ruse30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Gabriela Ruse12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3047946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Gabriela Ruse31c250$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.53,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Madison Keys69c246.45$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.431749.5%157 W · 160 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Gabriela Ruse15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022634.5%78 W · 148 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Gabriela Ruse31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6260856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Gabriela Ruse8c199.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.844038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed Gabriela Ruse31c199.96$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.994047.5%19 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+34.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Madison Keys68c199.46$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8376140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Gabriela Ruse22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Madison Keys68c139.98$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.791,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Madison Keys74c135$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.138268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Madison Keys79c121.15$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6726759.6%159 W · 108 L-1.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b8…e260backed Gabriela Ruse31c117.43$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.45933.9%20 W · 39 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Madison Keys68c107.53$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.411,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Gabriela Ruse17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6737233.9%126 W · 246 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Gabriela Ruse22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2230844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe39f…82e8backed Gabriela Ruse11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Gabriela Ruse31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3130452%158 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Gabriela Ruse30c92.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.051,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ff…9401backed Madison Keys69c90.75$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.133366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Gabriela Ruse32c74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6360055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfd52…07aabacked Madison Keys69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4616762.9%105 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d9…d020backed Madison Keys69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.462751.9%14 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Madison Keys74c68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6853457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Gabriela Ruse32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Madison Keys70c57.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1594060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49e1…52febacked Madison Keys69c56.52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.525657.1%32 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Gabriela Ruse26c54.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.262,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Gabriela Ruse31c53.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6647447.9%227 W · 247 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed Madison Keys69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.511961.3%73 W · 46 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Gabriela Ruse30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Gabriela Ruse31c46.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5553544.1%236 W · 299 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x615f…5f37backed Madison Keys69c46.13$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.33455.9%19 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Madison Keys69c41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7128764.1%184 W · 103 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Madison Keys72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.247453.2%252 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Gabriela Ruse30c38.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.622,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b06…1b99backed Madison Keys69c37.68$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb56b…7150backed Madison Keys69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2316564.8%107 W · 58 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec10…4d93backed Madison Keys69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.237263.9%46 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Gabriela Ruse32c34.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116844.1%30 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x112e…0d1fbacked Madison Keys69c33.88$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.534965%227 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Madison Keys69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.38643%37 W · 49 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1951…7542backed Madison Keys69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.37566.7%50 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd1…7040backed Madison Keys69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9923256.9%132 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Madison Keys69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9990854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076f…dc12backed Madison Keys70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.573764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2280…3780backed Madison Keys72c25.65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1815163.6%96 W · 55 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce35…75aabacked Madison Keys69c21.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.642462.5%15 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.