Tennis · resolved market
Asuncion: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Lautaro Midon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3415ddb99aaa47db995c61c158cf2c75e816594c2ea4b3ef1ad896495c70356
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gianluca Cadenassoof Gianluca Cadenasso, Lautaro Midon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,238 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cda…2de5backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 38c | 3,835$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.19 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lautaro Midon | 53c | 3,000$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.32 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 54c | 2,346$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.93 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lautaro Midon | 61c | 1,889$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.49 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 68c | 1,731$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.29 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Lautaro Midon | 41c | 1,601$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.64 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 60c | 1,438$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.81 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lautaro Midon | 44c | 1,135$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.25 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 72c | 1,068$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.11 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Lautaro Midon | 40c | 990.94$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.61 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lautaro Midon | 62c | 895.22$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.26 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…50b0backed Lautaro Midon | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Lautaro Midon | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Lautaro Midon | 30c | 451.82$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.96 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Lautaro Midon | 37c | 396$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 37c | 376.8$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.23 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Lautaro Midon | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 63c | 280.73$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 45c | 273.64$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.6 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Lautaro Midon | 40c | 253.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 63c | 250.05$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.55 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Lautaro Midon | 8c | 239.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Lautaro Midon | 45c | 222.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lautaro Midon | 38c | 216.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Lautaro Midon | 45c | 206.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.32 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lautaro Midon | 30c | 172.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 60c | 167$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 60c | 159.2$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Lautaro Midon | 50c | 152$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 60c | 139$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Lautaro Midon | 64c | 129.09$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Lautaro Midon | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lautaro Midon | 13c | 123.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 59c | 118.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked Lautaro Midon | 40c | 113.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Lautaro Midon | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 57c | 99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 60c | 83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lautaro Midon | 30c | 78.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 63c | 71.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 38c | 69.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 349 | 50.4%176 W · 173 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Lautaro Midon | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 62c | 67.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…2aa6backed Lautaro Midon | 59c | 66.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 61c | 64.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 58c | 62.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Lautaro Midon | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lautaro Midon | 41c | 61.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Lautaro Midon | 42c | 58.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Lautaro Midon | 61c | 55.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Lautaro Midon | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 228 | 47.4%108 W · 120 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lautaro Midon | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Lautaro Midon | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Lautaro Midon | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…5760backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 60c | 47.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Lautaro Midon | 39c | 44.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Lautaro Midon | 46c | 32.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…b193backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 258 | 62.4%161 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 64c | 30.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 272 | 40.4%110 W · 162 L | -25.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked Lautaro Midon | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Gianluca Cadenasso | 53c | 19.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ac…5ea3backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 71c | 17.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…68d7backed Gianluca Cadenasso | 63c | 16.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.