Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Naomi Osaka vs Sorana Cirstea
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63fca0cef43e00772950877739994d540f8603962f23a214c2fb6a66751cb3dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Osakaof Osaka, Cirstea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Osaka | 61c | 23,546$14,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,182.76 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cirstea | 39c | 16,950$6,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,610.5 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Osaka | 70c | 9,070$6,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.26 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Cirstea | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cirstea | 39c | 4,999$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.85 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cirstea | 38c | 4,373$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.12 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cirstea | 33c | 4,281$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.94 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Osaka | 77c | 3,775$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.78 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Osaka | 67c | 3,521$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.22 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Osaka | 54c | 3,100$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Cirstea | 36c | 2,240$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cirstea | 29c | 2,203$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.8 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed Osaka | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.97 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Cirstea | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Cirstea | 21c | 1,270$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.2 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Cirstea | 41c | 1,250$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.5 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e9…e33ebacked Cirstea | 28c | 1,134$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.83 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +166%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Cirstea | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cirstea | 38c | 1,046$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.34 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Osaka | 78c | 1,046$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.05 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Cirstea | 32c | 1,039$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.17 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Cirstea | 24c | 999$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Osaka | 63c | 994$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.78 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Osaka | 62c | 967.56$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.56 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Osaka | 59c | 907$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.87 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Cirstea | 31c | 888.92$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.7 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Cirstea | 38c | 701.44$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.44 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Cirstea | 29c | 615.35$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.36 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Osaka | 61c | 608.77$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.77 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5804…dc41backed Osaka | 76c | 544$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.72 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Osaka | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Osaka | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Cirstea | 24c | 420.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Cirstea | 52c | 411.81$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.55 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Cirstea | 38c | 409.4$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.57 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Osaka | 62c | 409.32$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Osaka | 60c | 399.99$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Osaka | 51c | 396.83$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.45 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Osaka | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…3385backed Cirstea | 28c | 386.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Osaka | 61c | 356.31$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.96 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Cirstea | 29c | 332.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…1eb0backed Cirstea | 31c | 330.68$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -11.1wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Osaka | 62c | 330$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Osaka | 69c | 316$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Osaka | 48c | 314.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cirstea | 34c | 309.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Osaka | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…c3e1backed Cirstea | 16c | 300$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Cirstea | 46c | 295.24$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.81 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Osaka | 73c | 275.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Osaka | 79c | 272.56$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…fd97backed Cirstea | 20c | 271.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Cirstea | 27c | 261.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Cirstea | 30c | 260.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cirstea | 23c | 254.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Cirstea | 39c | 253.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…01cbbacked Cirstea | 30c | 220.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f93…3e77backed Osaka | 74c | 217.45$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…648ebacked Cirstea | 36c | 209.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…6cc8backed Cirstea | 39c | 207.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Cirstea | 30c | 201.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Osaka | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 285 | 43.5%124 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Osaka | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Osaka | 79c | 199.89$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Cirstea | 30c | 178.37$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fc…3e7fbacked Osaka | 68c | 177.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Osaka | 69c | 174.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db1…78c5backed Osaka | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +299.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cc…769cbacked Cirstea | 25c | 159.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…8b69backed Osaka | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c37…3fd1backed Osaka | 58c | 153.57$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Cirstea | 39c | 152.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed Osaka | 62c | 140.23$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Cirstea | 22c | 135.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Cirstea | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Cirstea | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…dc37backed Cirstea | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Cirstea | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Cirstea | 26c | 119.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Osaka | 62c | 117.74$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Cirstea | 30c | 108.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Osaka | 62c | 101.13$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Cirstea | 27c | 97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Osaka | 60c | 95.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Cirstea | 45c | 93.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Cirstea | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Cirstea | 30c | 80.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…636cbacked Osaka | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Osaka | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Cirstea | 35c | 63.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…9dd5backed Cirstea | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe563…0cf5backed Cirstea | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Osaka | 70c | 61.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Cirstea | 38c | 53.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Cirstea | 33c | 52.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Osaka | 62c | 52.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Cirstea | 31c | 51.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Cirstea | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cirstea | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Naomi Osaka vs Sorana Cirsteathis page
- Osaka vs. Cirstea: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)Cirstea won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.