TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Qatar Total Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Victoria Mboko

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mbokoof Ostapenko, Mboko
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$247,038
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$283,015

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,038 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf152…64aabacked Mboko67c30,000$20,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,899.9327063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Ostapenko17c14,350$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50028444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Ostapenko34c10,500$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,55010443.3%45 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Ostapenko51c9,796$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00048851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ostapenko30c9,540$2,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,845.517,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Ostapenko33c9,539$3,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,147.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mboko74c8,018$5,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.132,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Ostapenko42c7,799$3,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,279.3235247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ostapenko21c7,523$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.218,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ostapenko33c7,273$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Ostapenko0c5,757$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.152,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mboko72c5,270$3,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.752,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ee…47c8backed Mboko68c4,800$3,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.2920261.4%124 W · 78 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Ostapenko21c4,670$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Mboko75c4,437$3,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.0736968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Ostapenko34c4,276$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.7823945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Ostapenko34c4,175$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.4696035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Ostapenko32c4,051$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.1837540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Mboko68c3,692$2,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.511,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Mboko68c3,676$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.4757249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7750…a3f3backed Ostapenko20c3,335$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.4211215.2%17 W · 95 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Ostapenko34c3,301$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.3276146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Mboko68c3,160$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.126847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Mboko75c3,109$2,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.3315665.4%102 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Mboko66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.33467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Mboko66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.310547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Ostapenko33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9908142%34 W · 47 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Ostapenko32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.986350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Mboko76c2,761$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.781349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Ostapenko32c2,627$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.1122641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac5f…7f12backed Mboko68c2,539$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.48650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Ostapenko33c2,446$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.181,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Mboko68c2,427$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.820257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Mboko57c2,287$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.471,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Mboko67c2,239$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.815853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Mboko66c2,201$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.3778152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Ostapenko33c2,059$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.4733241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Ostapenko32c1,915$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.481,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Mboko68c1,819$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.7618663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbe…4d6abacked Ostapenko4c1,584$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.685735.1%20 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Ostapenko33c1,565$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.448343.4%36 W · 47 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd055…f90ebacked Mboko68c1,536$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.52944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Mboko66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.154673.9%34 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Mboko67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49520653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Ostapenko16c1,368$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22013435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ostapenko31c1,327$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.3776140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Mboko69c1,090$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.0116743.7%73 W · 94 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Mboko66c1,055$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.581,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Mboko68c1,044$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.4533556.7%190 W · 145 L-27.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Mboko66c1,031$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.5420043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mboko73c1,023$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.983,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1f5…e4c2backed Mboko69c1,016$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.559244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9a…8a4cbacked Ostapenko5c959.76$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.982343.5%10 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+74.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc49f…e88ebacked Mboko74c901.6$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.82564%16 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Ostapenko15c820.51$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011428.9%33 W · 81 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bde…3800backed Ostapenko34c794.12$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2704740.4%19 W · 28 L-8.6wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-37.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Mboko75c783$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.91,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Ostapenko32c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25098240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f3…7304backed Mboko68c750$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x623a…0b32backed Ostapenko33c750$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.52339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Mboko49c738$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.5380938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Ostapenko35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Ostapenko15c680.21$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7817260.5%104 W · 68 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Ostapenko33c656.31$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.58714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-68.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c1fbacked Ostapenko5c649.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Ostapenko32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007644.7%34 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Mboko68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19281938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x907c…85c8backed Mboko66c600$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+44.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ab9…5b82backed Ostapenko47c533.4$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.369135.2%32 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Ostapenko2c526.59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a3…14f4backed Mboko57c525$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.754557.8%26 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Mboko67c500$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16443042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Mboko57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21546553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Mboko68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16014663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Mboko69c480.87$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.0718957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Ostapenko22c412$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.691,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Ostapenko33c400$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1323650%18 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Ostapenko33c400$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13215447.4%73 W · 81 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed Mboko50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Mboko70c380.31$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.592,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38c7…aa6ebacked Mboko68c380$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.61154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Mboko67c359.85$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8517955.9%100 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe901…3139backed Ostapenko13c352.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5523832.4%77 W · 161 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Mboko54c350.18$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.6184857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cee…41a8backed Mboko67c333.58$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.011464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db0…73f1backed Mboko69c331.39$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.216558.8%97 W · 68 L-0.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Ostapenko45c329$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.0369249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Mboko68c322.76$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2841060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0c…e795backed Mboko68c318.21$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.83580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0483…483bbacked Ostapenko33c309.02$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.986955.1%38 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Ostapenko15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4512722%28 W · 99 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+55.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Mboko68c292.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.461,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c4…fe40backed Ostapenko23c257.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.481315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-55%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8260…eb17backed Mboko66c254.55$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+142.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Ostapenko41c244.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Ostapenko32c222$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.041,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Ostapenko33c218.21$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.014,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Ostapenko47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Mboko68c210$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.259348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Ostapenko36c209.98$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4958753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.