NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29b5e27f06ddb22f1cc6616571b4f124ad04bd692c27166c20835e84cbdc54c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Predators, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $461,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $467,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1057…9ea5backed Flames | 51c | 80,419$41,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,354.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flames | 52c | 77,000$39,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,910 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Predators | 47c | 59,816$28,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,702.31 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Predators | 72c | 36,921$26,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,359.01 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Predators | 50c | 30,126$15,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,063 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Predators | 47c | 26,900$12,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,256.99 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Predators | 48c | 26,704$12,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,886.12 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Flames | 53c | 19,737$10,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,460.71 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flames | 41c | 18,641$7,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,643.17 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Predators | 49c | 14,484$7,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,346.94 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Flames | 40c | 10,707$4,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,287.6 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Flames | 53c | 10,700$5,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,671 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Predators | 50c | 10,632$5,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,325.32 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Predators | 49c | 10,333$5,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,269.75 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Predators | 49c | 10,000$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,060 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Flames | 26c | 9,949$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.76 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Predators | 47c | 9,043$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,792.55 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Predators | 49c | 8,888$4,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,532.88 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Flames | 53c | 8,105$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,283.65 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Predators | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 51c | 5,965$3,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,042.23 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Predators | 47c | 5,000$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.13 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Flames | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Predators | 49c | 4,680$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.8 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Flames | 53c | 4,623$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.19 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Flames | 50c | 4,536$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.11 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Predators | 48c | 4,375$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Predators | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Flames | 39c | 4,135$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.04 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Flames | 52c | 3,860$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.45 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Flames | 25c | 3,764$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Predators | 49c | 3,580$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.8 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Predators | 41c | 3,517$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.4 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Flames | 25c | 3,374$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.38 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Flames | 48c | 3,202$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.85 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Predators | 50c | 3,010$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.53 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flames | 52c | 2,985$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.29 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Predators | 50c | 2,726$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.32 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Predators | 42c | 2,718$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.32 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Flames | 52c | 2,641$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.92 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Predators | 44c | 2,558$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.02 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Flames | 51c | 2,498$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.21 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Predators | 48c | 2,402$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.99 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Flames | 53c | 2,244$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.32 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flames | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Predators | 47c | 2,172$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.75 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Predators | 50c | 2,089$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.67 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Flames | 36c | 2,036$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.47 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…53d7backed Flames | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flames | 29c | 2,000$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.25 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Flames | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.36 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -8.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Predators | 64c | 1,800$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.28 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flames | 50c | 1,790$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.7 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Flames | 53c | 1,621$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.08 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Flames | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Predators | 48c | 1,553$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.64 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Predators | 51c | 1,544$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.57 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Predators | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Flames | 42c | 1,500$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Flames | 25c | 1,332$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.09 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Flames | 53c | 1,200$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Flames | 53c | 1,173$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.69 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Predators | 60c | 1,164$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.69 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Predators | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.89 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Predators | 59c | 1,087$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.88 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Predators | 49c | 1,007$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.45 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…b4c7backed Predators | 72c | 1,002$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Flames | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Flames | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Predators | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Flames | 67c | 999.98$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.98 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…0da8backed Predators | 50c | 985$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Flames | 52c | 899.99$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.65 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 53c | 882.19$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.84 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Predators | 49c | 819$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.69 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Predators | 66c | 777.05$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.05 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Predators | 49c | 774.34$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.34 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Flames | 52c | 723.08$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Flames | 7c | 700$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Flames | 52c | 692$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.35 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Flames | 53c | 632.08$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Flames | 51c | 627.45$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Flames | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Flames | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Predators | 35c | 578.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.99 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Flames | 53c | 567.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Flames | 25c | 544.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.51 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfa…7478backed Predators | 48c | 532.39$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Flames | 42c | 521.67$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.55 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…b471backed Predators | 46c | 519.96$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Predators | 49c | 511.32$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.77 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Predators | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Predators | 49c | 487.74$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.75 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267f…202bbacked Flames | 52c | 482.65$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3d…29fcbacked Flames | 52c | 475.94$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Flames | 40c | 475.07$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.77 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Flames | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Predators | 35c | 447.86$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.94 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Predators | 49c | 434.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.85 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Flames | 52c | 417.31$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Flamesthis page
- Predators vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Over won
- Predators vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Flames (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.