TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Qatar Total Open: Karolina Muchova vs Victoria Mboko

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Muchovaof Muchova, Mboko
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$383,226
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$398,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,226 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dcf…c556backed Muchova48c61,661$29,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,825.779545.3%43 W · 52 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Mboko53c30,000$15,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,799.986552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dbf…53bebacked Mboko54c27,333$14,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,759.931250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Muchova49c25,134$12,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,905.99875%6 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+106.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Mboko47c18,937$8,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,885.321,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Muchova63c15,330$9,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,711.452,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mboko51c11,803$5,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,961.98,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Muchova46c11,412$5,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,162.451,63450%817 W · 817 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Mboko65c10,847$7,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,05526847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Mboko34c10,252$3,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,516.244,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Muchova47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,30043051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Muchova46c8,553$3,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,618.6575046.8%351 W · 399 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Mboko26c8,446$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.7955646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Mboko54c7,500$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,05044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Muchova45c6,843$3,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,763.4176140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Mboko54c6,700$3,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6188825%22 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Muchova47c6,461$3,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,404.1633955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Muchova68c6,079$4,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.727,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Mboko52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.979742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Mboko47c5,921$2,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,765.7357939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Muchova70c4,940$3,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.2757249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Mboko54c4,564$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.6310547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Muchova64c4,480$2,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.162,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Mboko53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1206350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Muchova46c3,681$1,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,987.9821147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Muchova46c3,542$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.911,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f8bcbacked Mboko28c3,389$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.986026.7%16 W · 44 L-7.6wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Muchova46c3,212$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.3131332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Muchova65c2,937$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.3581349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Mboko44c2,927$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.0420653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Mboko45c2,912$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3021,11043%477 W · 633 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Mboko27c2,839$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.622,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Mboko36c2,501$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9009528.1%77 W · 875 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Muchova69c2,463$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.8426158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Mboko55c2,290$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25016743.7%73 W · 94 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Muchova76c2,202$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.546,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Mboko57c2,190$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.251,09350.4%551 W · 542 L-18.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Mboko26c2,167$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.1628552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ed…7103backed Muchova48c2,102$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.91163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Mboko26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52030241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Mboko52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04012147.1%57 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Mboko42c1,994$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.4997046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8f…30dbbacked Muchova70c1,984$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Mboko51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.117,71047.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Mboko38c1,943$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.171,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Mboko26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50048851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Muchova56c1,867$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.873,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb000…5ca6backed Mboko27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012150.4%61 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Muchova61c1,800$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6987248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1f5…e4c2backed Mboko39c1,757$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6899244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Mboko59c1,700$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00036968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Muchova46c1,602$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.261,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Muchova69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.2815862.7%99 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Muchova74c1,393$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0825464.6%164 W · 90 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Muchova44c1,364$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.641,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a6…fc8cbacked Mboko78c1,289$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf878…05c1backed Muchova11c1,284$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.411250%6 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+287.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xeed0…dd5ebacked Muchova47c1,272$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.3410943.1%47 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Mboko28c1,250$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35022641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Mboko43c1,167$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.954351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Mboko51c1,133$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.8365459%386 W · 268 L-31.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Mboko54c1,093$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5906934.8%24 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Mboko28c1,050$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.973745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked Mboko2c1,028$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.323336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Mboko34c1,014$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3477462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Muchova47c1,005$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.4962345.4%283 W · 340 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Mboko50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009245.7%42 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Mboko30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30081938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Muchova46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-68.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8348…de9fbacked Mboko2c999.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Mboko34c991.6$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.5649143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Mboko47c971.57$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.6412627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Mboko33c969.58$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9611123.4%26 W · 85 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Muchova45c949.98$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.2943042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3986…971fbacked Mboko18c849.57$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.861266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb62f…6836backed Mboko52c842.75$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.428530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Mboko40c800$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32218636%67 W · 119 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e0…7132backed Muchova10c800$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Mboko55c727.6$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40033163.7%211 W · 120 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa9…a9bebacked Mboko33c717.11$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.521250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Muchova42c714.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.2928754%155 W · 132 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Mboko41c693.41$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2841,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Muchova71c686.54$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.3416665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Muchova46c650$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3511464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+37.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Mboko58c637.23$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.8937854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Mboko54c628.57$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.591,82853.1%971 W · 857 L-44.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93f…3c12backed Muchova46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3244327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x359f…fa80backed Muchova14c600$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5162334.8%8 W · 15 L+6.7wins+0.29per pick6cpaid+304.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Muchova63c587.48$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.662,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Muchova47c576.31$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.4913727.7%38 W · 99 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed Muchova46c575$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.59766%64 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Mboko53c570$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.139438.1%150 W · 244 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd533…7b07backed Muchova10c566.45$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.13520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+97.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Mboko54c556.11$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30044754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Muchova71c517.17$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.761,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64f8…8cadbacked Mboko55c512.73$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2823842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Muchova47c509$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.7714351%73 W · 70 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Mboko36c505.53$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18035730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Muchova48c504.29$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.1531749.5%157 W · 160 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ee…47c8backed Mboko54c500$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.520261.4%124 W · 78 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.