NHL · resolved market
SHL: Brynaes vs. Djurgaarden
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x358a274980f4e45e4519ed16576ca5960922f0828b7a1abc5f18efc319199306
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brynaesof Brynaes, Djurgaarden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd183…ebffbacked Djurgaarden | 30c | 1,450$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…9de7backed Brynaes | 70c | 1,130$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e4…c76abacked Djurgaarden | 30c | 619$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d63…0e2bbacked Djurgaarden | 30c | 603$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0143backed Djurgaarden | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…4279backed Djurgaarden | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e8…bcc7backed Djurgaarden | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4c…9f09backed Djurgaarden | 30c | 540$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…b3b0backed Djurgaarden | 30c | 510$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brynaes | 69c | 373.97$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.44 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Djurgaarden | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…bdddbacked Brynaes | 70c | 320$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0006…87b6backed Brynaes | 70c | 315$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…4456backed Brynaes | 70c | 315$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…83d4backed Brynaes | 70c | 310$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f74…63c5backed Brynaes | 70c | 310$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a5…665ebacked Brynaes | 70c | 304$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e6…cbe7backed Brynaes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…87acbacked Brynaes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…897dbacked Brynaes | 70c | 290$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…0703backed Brynaes | 70c | 290$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b36…7ea7backed Brynaes | 70c | 288$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x590f…d809backed Brynaes | 70c | 280$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…b014backed Brynaes | 70c | 260$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…0b1fbacked Brynaes | 70c | 260$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f9…70ebbacked Brynaes | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Brynaes | 70c | 104$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Brynaes | 70c | 63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Djurgaarden | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Brynaes | 64c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Djurgaarden | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…fc6dbacked Brynaes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…a70dbacked Brynaes | 70c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.