CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ShindeN (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64a1f8237303598bc146f6c9cd538e09455ae08b993c7fd15ab6d27e46fae4ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed BESTIA | 70c | 3,965$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.47 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed ShindeN | 30c | 1,250$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…ba26backed ShindeN | 30c | 1,167$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…9291backed ShindeN | 28c | 1,145$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.65 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed BESTIA | 72c | 1,109$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.4 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed BESTIA | 32c | 900$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…30d5backed ShindeN | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked ShindeN | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked ShindeN | 30c | 455$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed ShindeN | 30c | 368.07$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…a5fbbacked ShindeN | 30c | 271.66$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…9f1bbacked ShindeN | 25c | 270$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked BESTIA | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ShindeN | 27c | 106.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed ShindeN | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…a70dbacked BESTIA | 73c | 79.45$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…a4c2backed BESTIA | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…8dcfbacked BESTIA | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +10.2wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.