TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

East Carolina Pirates vs. North Texas Mean Green

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
East Carolina Piratesof East Carolina Pirates, North Texas Mean Green
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,472
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,472 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85d2…cc46backed North Texas Mean Green50c4,024$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0012729.6%8 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1df2…ffedbacked North Texas Mean Green1c3,498$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.78540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-44%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked East Carolina Pirates40c2,600$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.315,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed East Carolina Pirates52c2,555$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.772,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6125…1b5fbacked East Carolina Pirates66c1,999$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.79875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed East Carolina Pirates29c1,819$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.047839.7%31 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked East Carolina Pirates16c1,806$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.1112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed North Texas Mean Green63c1,764$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.037656.6%43 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed North Texas Mean Green37c1,760$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.31,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed North Texas Mean Green50c1,641$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.923,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked East Carolina Pirates35c1,063$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.924,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c64…348fbacked North Texas Mean Green2c999.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20570%0 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked North Texas Mean Green75c936.74$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.561,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa59e…2b99backed North Texas Mean Green68c851.77$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked East Carolina Pirates15c790.18$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.6520026%52 W · 148 L+0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked North Texas Mean Green61c631.94$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.31,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b8d…854cbacked North Texas Mean Green49c621.2$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f5…8be3backed East Carolina Pirates18c555$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.112733.9%43 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed North Texas Mean Green19c481$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.633,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d24…6564backed East Carolina Pirates50c416.58$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked North Texas Mean Green9c405.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.53993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked North Texas Mean Green50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016746.1%77 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed North Texas Mean Green41c339.41$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.12,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed North Texas Mean Green64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33c…2bd1backed North Texas Mean Green26c307.88$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791625%4 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+53.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…2e16backed East Carolina Pirates47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked East Carolina Pirates51c281.42$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.856428.1%18 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed East Carolina Pirates18c277.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.789257.6%53 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed East Carolina Pirates31c270$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.4994036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked East Carolina Pirates44c259.05$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.471,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed North Texas Mean Green79c250$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed East Carolina Pirates39c241.89$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.6923331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbecd…9df4backed East Carolina Pirates37c238$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ec…4e01backed East Carolina Pirates45c219.57$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.57450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59cf…71dabacked East Carolina Pirates35c210.81$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.331822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid+45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x582d…0557backed North Texas Mean Green6c194.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed North Texas Mean Green74c177.47$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1317647.2%83 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60f…fa06backed North Texas Mean Green31c172.4$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked East Carolina Pirates30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.314925.5%38 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…a754backed East Carolina Pirates39c139$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.791533.3%5 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked North Texas Mean Green61c138.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5987047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed East Carolina Pirates17c118$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9425436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9380…a275backed North Texas Mean Green65c110$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.52339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked North Texas Mean Green58c109.64$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.851,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x634f…25bfbacked East Carolina Pirates33c107.76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked North Texas Mean Green77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b3…7c36backed North Texas Mean Green14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146016.7%10 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5999…6c1cbacked North Texas Mean Green54c93.7$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+50.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc60…f7b5backed East Carolina Pirates48c82.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf3…8c56backed North Texas Mean Green63c81.05$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.061729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef05…4d9fbacked East Carolina Pirates39c78.82$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.822927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa33b…fa01backed East Carolina Pirates55c75.83$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.15742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed North Texas Mean Green25c75.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7617122.8%39 W · 132 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed North Texas Mean Green67c74.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.753646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed North Texas Mean Green35c70.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25260%0 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf360…6726backed East Carolina Pirates17c70$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.15911.9%7 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c0…7a87backed East Carolina Pirates39c69.41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed East Carolina Pirates44c69.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.42per pick44cpaid+95.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked North Texas Mean Green60c68.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4110043%43 W · 57 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ef0…7adebacked North Texas Mean Green53c66.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed East Carolina Pirates69c63.63$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.513,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked North Texas Mean Green61c63.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4845351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked East Carolina Pirates48c61.14$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6670349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x670d…fbe9backed East Carolina Pirates37c59.92$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.751060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed East Carolina Pirates32c55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.61782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+36.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9121…bd6cbacked East Carolina Pirates47c53.62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.626136.1%22 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked East Carolina Pirates48c51.93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.93771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed North Texas Mean Green38c51.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.451,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked North Texas Mean Green62c50.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9857335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0c4…b7a9backed East Carolina Pirates68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked North Texas Mean Green28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe70d…dd35backed North Texas Mean Green30c49.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed East Carolina Pirates49c48.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6429954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1981…3867backed East Carolina Pirates60c46.67$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.671573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed East Carolina Pirates29c44.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.32,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa89…d3cfbacked North Texas Mean Green74c42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.08875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c37…3fd1backed North Texas Mean Green60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-55.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x413d…0db8backed North Texas Mean Green73c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.9wins-0.56per pick70cpaid-81.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8892…0ea9backed East Carolina Pirates34c37.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+190.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe23…a8b5backed East Carolina Pirates55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x888b…5847backed North Texas Mean Green55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a11…db4bbacked North Texas Mean Green72c35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.35540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked North Texas Mean Green63c34.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9245953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked North Texas Mean Green75c33.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe12…93aebacked East Carolina Pirates63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf65…45d7backed North Texas Mean Green64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6098…a70dbacked North Texas Mean Green65c30.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x640f…4cc0backed East Carolina Pirates37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.92875%21 W · 7 L+6.7wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+54.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa523…d782backed North Texas Mean Green71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaa7…2e3cbacked North Texas Mean Green79c27.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222763%17 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked East Carolina Pirates56c26.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.782356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed North Texas Mean Green61c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3727358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ce…f660backed East Carolina Pirates44c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+81.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2734…22efbacked North Texas Mean Green51c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.197254.2%39 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9280…99b4backed North Texas Mean Green67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.44641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91d9…141dbacked North Texas Mean Green62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x450a…a7debacked North Texas Mean Green62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x128f…47afbacked North Texas Mean Green62c17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.548459.5%50 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed North Texas Mean Green79c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8515066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.