Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
East Carolina Pirates vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 135.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26228599bfb5cddf317258234d221436457a29a1bc8a12e1471db08e98c6eaca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $796,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $797,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $796,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 663,005$334,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334,857.96 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 299,048$149,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,451.86 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Under | 49c | 232,245$113,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118,445 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 49c | 75,000$36,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,250 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Over | 51c | 69,000$35,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,190 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 65,001$31,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,150.61 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 29,898$14,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,948.96 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 50c | 15,554$7,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,854.76 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Under | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 51c | 12,120$6,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,181.2 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 50c | 10,000$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,020 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 7,799$3,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 49c | 2,031$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 50c | 1,938$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.8 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 1,415$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.5 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 50c | 1,136$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.44 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Over | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Over | 51c | 331.12$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.87 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c36…36a0backed Under | 51c | 300$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Under | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 51c | 237.73$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.24 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 50c | 132.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…7132backed Over | 18c | 123.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…925abacked Under | 51c | 112.68$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 49c | 111$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…18a9backed Over | 51c | 75.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 50c | 45.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Over | 51c | 34.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…57ffbacked Over | 51c | 28.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd4…83bdbacked Over | 50c | 21.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 51c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Under | 50c | 20.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- East Carolina Pirates vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 135.5this page
- East Carolina Pirates vs. North Texas Mean GreenEast Carolina Pirates won
- Spread: North Texas Mean Green (-10.5)East Carolina Pirates won
- Spread: North Texas Mean Green (-9.5)East Carolina Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.