Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. South Alabama Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa33088f1515e4d6df2b739a00fa3a912f74996585436ee1753dcd6cba18a195a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Alabama Jaguarsof Arkansas State Red Wolves, South Alabama Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 62c | 16,205$10,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,015.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked South Alabama Jaguars | 38c | 15,585$5,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,713.61 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 64c | 14,919$9,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,499.18 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 36c | 9,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed South Alabama Jaguars | 37c | 7,922$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,969.64 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 63c | 7,500$4,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,724.98 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 36c | 4,900$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.05 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 61c | 4,208$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.15 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed South Alabama Jaguars | 30c | 2,925$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.62 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 33c | 2,667$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.12 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 28c | 1,776$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.84 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed South Alabama Jaguars | 73c | 1,582$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.76 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 54c | 1,394$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.17 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 68c | 1,330$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.45 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed South Alabama Jaguars | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…50c6backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 13c | 998.62$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.83 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 44c | 957.45$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.97 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 61c | 899$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.46 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 34c | 863$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.42 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +235.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 72c | 831.69$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 37c | 800.01$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.74 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 63c | 721$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.85 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 53c | 687.7$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.28 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 7c | 660.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 2c | 600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 6c | 599.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 26c | 588.61$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.13 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 19c | 560.88$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 51c | 547.66$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.66 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b4…a506backed South Alabama Jaguars | 34c | 534.39$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.39 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 69c | 450.35$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.93 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 44c | 380.28$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.87 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 66c | 364$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.24 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed South Alabama Jaguars | 11c | 341.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.37 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed South Alabama Jaguars | 34c | 237.63$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.84 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed South Alabama Jaguars | 28c | 235.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.42 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75da…fc93backed South Alabama Jaguars | 44c | 228$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed South Alabama Jaguars | 22c | 217.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.11 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed South Alabama Jaguars | 40c | 215.33$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.3 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed South Alabama Jaguars | 50c | 195.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.32 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…0f30backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 60c | 170$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 39c | 164.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 63c | 157.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed South Alabama Jaguars | 38c | 154.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 59c | 150.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed South Alabama Jaguars | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed South Alabama Jaguars | 35c | 148$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.87 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…aeb0backed South Alabama Jaguars | 38c | 139.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed South Alabama Jaguars | 36c | 129$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 68c | 122$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.71 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 34c | 88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed South Alabama Jaguars | 51c | 76.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd363…e6d1backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 68c | 73.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 59c | 69.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed South Alabama Jaguars | 37c | 68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 30c | 63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…e43ebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed South Alabama Jaguars | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…2ec9backed South Alabama Jaguars | 41c | 52.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed South Alabama Jaguars | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd8…5c53backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 74c | 48.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed South Alabama Jaguars | 26c | 48.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2001…29b8backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 63c | 41.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…e768backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 57c | 40.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked South Alabama Jaguars | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed South Alabama Jaguars | 36c | 38.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 56c | 37.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 36c | 34.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed South Alabama Jaguars | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…9bc8backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…9c40backed South Alabama Jaguars | 35c | 31.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed South Alabama Jaguars | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…30b4backed South Alabama Jaguars | 50c | 29.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed South Alabama Jaguars | 37c | 29.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x337e…d7f3backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 62c | 27.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…f46abacked South Alabama Jaguars | 38c | 27.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed South Alabama Jaguars | 41c | 27.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…d510backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 75c | 26.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 67c | 24.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 70c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…a9a3backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 65c | 22.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 52c | 19.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 69c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. South Alabama Jaguarsthis page
- Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. South Alabama Jaguars: O/U 154.5Over won
- Spread: Arkansas State Red Wolves (-3.5)South Alabama Jaguars won
- Spread: Arkansas State Red Wolves (-4.5)South Alabama Jaguars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.