Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Liberty Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaa1cd7386bf864430d45f5c12859da8445c3d3681dfb31ebf41d246ab312edf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liberty Flamesof New Mexico State Aggies, Liberty Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed New Mexico State Aggies | 7c | 9,000$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.98 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed New Mexico State Aggies | 6c | 4,357$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.96 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed New Mexico State Aggies | 18c | 3,884$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.5 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked New Mexico State Aggies | 1c | 1,803$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked New Mexico State Aggies | 14c | 1,712$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed New Mexico State Aggies | 10c | 1,364$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.65 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked New Mexico State Aggies | 20c | 1,200$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed New Mexico State Aggies | 19c | 1,164$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.13 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed New Mexico State Aggies | 21c | 1,052$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.77 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed New Mexico State Aggies | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…08f5backed New Mexico State Aggies | 2c | 900$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c6…5791backed New Mexico State Aggies | 20c | 846$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 19c | 810$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.53 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 3c | 799.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…4c5dbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 20c | 649$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed New Mexico State Aggies | 19c | 530$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked New Mexico State Aggies | 27c | 526.07$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.89 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed New Mexico State Aggies | 11c | 522.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed New Mexico State Aggies | 21c | 513$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.34 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd03…a537backed Liberty Flames | 80c | 466$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…aeb0backed New Mexico State Aggies | 9c | 430.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New Mexico State Aggies | 8c | 418.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ae…412ebacked Liberty Flames | 80c | 380$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…78abbacked Liberty Flames | 80c | 356$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New Mexico State Aggies | 11c | 319.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Liberty Flames | 79c | 317.98$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc59…74a0backed Liberty Flames | 80c | 293$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Liberty Flames | 79c | 254$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…112bbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Liberty Flames | 80c | 200.21$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed New Mexico State Aggies | 19c | 152.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New Mexico State Aggies | 20c | 130.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Liberty Flames | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…0024backed New Mexico State Aggies | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed New Mexico State Aggies | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed New Mexico State Aggies | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed New Mexico State Aggies | 20c | 92.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 19c | 79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed New Mexico State Aggies | 23c | 78.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed New Mexico State Aggies | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…ab11backed Liberty Flames | 77c | 47.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Liberty Flames | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…53ccbacked Liberty Flames | 75c | 26.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…d0b8backed Liberty Flames | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…6678backed Liberty Flames | 78c | 21.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Liberty Flames | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c9…0dfebacked Liberty Flames | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Liberty Flames | 80c | 19.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…a0aabacked Liberty Flames | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Liberty Flames | 78c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…c4dabacked Liberty Flames | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…e366backed Liberty Flames | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…d9d6backed Liberty Flames | 80c | 14.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…d510backed Liberty Flames | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Mexico State Aggies vs. Liberty Flamesthis page
- New Mexico State Aggies vs. Liberty Flames: O/U 141.5Over won
- New Mexico State Aggies vs. Liberty Flames: O/U 142.5Over won
- Spread: Liberty Flames (-7.5)New Mexico State Aggies won
- Spread: Liberty Flames (-8.5)New Mexico State Aggies won
- Spread: Liberty Flames (-9.5)New Mexico State Aggies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.